msstate7
Well-known member
Amen
GDT: Cubs @ Braves 04/27
- Thread starter bravesfanforlife88
- Start date
Amen
The saving grace for Snit is expanded playoffs.
This team is way too talented despite the injuries to be playing like this. And that falls on Snit.
Tapate50
Well-known member
msstate7
Well-known member
Pretty rough. They will be adding a top 5 player to that OF soon though
WaitingFor2017
Well-known member
If the Braves lose tonight and lose another home series to a bad team, is it time to become concerned? Or just don’t believe the stats because of SSS.
Awfully easy answer, no?
1.) No Acuna until tonight.
2.) Morton's struggles.
3.) Pen has struggled in spots.
4.) Absolutely NO PRODUCTION from Rosario/Dickerson.
9-11 with all that going on isn't half-bad.
Obviously this included last nights game. But the Braves as a team have a 321 wOBA which is 9th in baseball. The teams xwOBA is 359 which is 2nd in baseball. The teams barrell % is 10.7 which is 2nd in baseball. The offense is good and hitting a lot of rockets for outs right now. This is a top tier offense and at the end of the year the stats will bear that out.
I am concerned with the rotation.
I am concerned with the rotation.
Tapate50
Well-known member
Kyle Wright says "Pull up on me"
CyYoung31
Shift Leader
Not with these new balls they won’t.
I disagree. A 105 EV rocket for an out should be a hit whether the ball is deadened or not.
CyYoung31
Shift Leader
Not if it’s hit in the air.
We'll see how it shakes out. I suspect the Braves will be just fine offensively by seasons end.
bravesfanforlife88
Well-known member
There was a pitcher complaining the other day about the baseballs being used. He said they are all different and there is no consistency in them. This is causing pitchers to not have the same control as usual.
I wonder if it is also causing balls to not go as far.....
**** Manfred btw.
I wonder if it is also causing balls to not go as far.....
**** Manfred btw.
Supposedly the balls have more drag which is causing travel distance to be lower.
This is from an article a couple of days ago
I mean...all teams are using the same ball, and current xwOBA calculations haven't been calibrated yet. So while the xwOBA/wOBA values may not be accurate, the rankings of teams relative to each other are accurate. HR/FB rates are waaaaaay down in 2022, and that is directly caused by extra drag on the baseball. It usually hovers in the 14%-15% range for the league, and this year it's at like 9.7%...which is a huge problem.
The Braves are just getting a bit worse luck than other teams, just like they did early last season.
They are currently the 7th unluckiest offense, and last year they were the 3rd unluckiest offense. The difference being that by the end of 2021 the gap between the most and least lucky teams was much smaller (25 points) than it is now (79 points) due to sample size variance.
So if you don't understand how to calculate things like standard deviations and confidence intervals, just be assured this offense is performing like the 2nd best offense in the league, even though the results aren't happening due to a few extra bad bounces, gusts of wind and every other random thing that affects baseball games. They will very likely end the year with a top 3 or so ranking in runs scored.
For example, that .280 team BABIP is probably due for some serious regression upwards to the ~.300 range, and when those hits start falling the runs will start scoring.
The Braves are just getting a bit worse luck than other teams, just like they did early last season.
They are currently the 7th unluckiest offense, and last year they were the 3rd unluckiest offense. The difference being that by the end of 2021 the gap between the most and least lucky teams was much smaller (25 points) than it is now (79 points) due to sample size variance.
So if you don't understand how to calculate things like standard deviations and confidence intervals, just be assured this offense is performing like the 2nd best offense in the league, even though the results aren't happening due to a few extra bad bounces, gusts of wind and every other random thing that affects baseball games. They will very likely end the year with a top 3 or so ranking in runs scored.
For example, that .280 team BABIP is probably due for some serious regression upwards to the ~.300 range, and when those hits start falling the runs will start scoring.
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I wonder if there are supply chain issues with MLB’s ball distributor and they’re just using any ball they have available. Maybe they couldn’t produce the ball the way they wanted at a high volume. So they settled for a lesser quality ball higher quantity.