GDT 6/10/22: Braves vs Pirates - Bringing The Heat

Dammit Ronald. Runner on 3rd so a fly ball scores him and you run into the 2nd out. Pure stupidity.

Snit needs to start throwing up the red light if guys can’t figure it out.

Result was bad, but expected value is probably neutral given 2nd/3rd with 1 out is significantly better than 1st and 3rd with 1 out (no double play, single scores two runs, etc.)
 
I don’t know how you do it, but Strider needs to get at least 100 IP per year. He’s giving you Kimbrel results over multiple innings.
 
I don't really see how that's so hard as he's going to be a starter until he proves he can't be one

I’m not worried about his innings. It’s more so trusting Snit to manage his workload and piggy back him.

Unless these guys just think he’s a 3 times through the order type of guy.
 
I don’t know how you do it, but Strider needs to get at least 100 IP per year. He’s giving you Kimbrel results over multiple innings.

Seems like that would be very doable. Looking at tonight's game, he's just got to find a way to keep his pitch count down. He's had a few instances tonight of batters taking him to ten or so pitches. As soon as he gets that down, watch out.
 
Result was bad, but expected value is probably neutral given 2nd/3rd with 1 out is significantly better than 1st and 3rd with 1 out (no double play, single scores two runs, etc.)

1st and 3rd with 1 out is 1.13
2nd and 3rd with 1 out is 1.37
3rd with 2 outs is 0.35

So no, not even close. It was not a good choice to steal there.
 
1st and 3rd with 1 out is 1.13
2nd and 3rd with 1 out is 1.37
3rd with 2 outs is 0.35

So no, not even close. It was not a good choice to steal there.

This isn’t taking into account the probability of a successful stolen base.

Say Ronald is 90% likely to steal 2nd base

90% x (1.37 - 1.13) = +0.216
10% x (0.35 - 1.13) = -0.078

See what I’m saying?
 
When Soroka comes back were gonna have a deep rotation. Which is not what we assumed on April 1st.

Fried
Wright
Morton
Anderson
Strider or Soroka.

Then Matzek and Yates return. Bullpen is going to be absolute filth.
 
Crazy to think about our postseason pen

Jansen
Matzek
Yates
Minter
Strider
Smith
McHugh
 
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