Global Events & Politics Überthread

The query hashtags from each tweet were extracted and the total number of pro-Ukrainian (ending in Ukraine or Zelenskyy) and pro-Russian (ending in Russia or Putin) hashtags were counted and used to establish the national lean of a tweet. If the number of pro-Ukranian query hashtags exceeded that of the pro-Russian hashtags, the tweet was labelled as ‘ProUkraine’, and labeled as ‘ProRussia’ conversely. If the counts were balanced, the tweet was labelled ‘Balanced’. Where applicable, the lean of an account was taken to be the most commonly occurring national lean across all tweets from that account. We found that 90.16% of accounts fell into the ‘ProUkraine’ category, while only 6.80% fell into the ‘ProRussia’ category. The balanced category contained 3.04% of accounts, showing that accounts exhibiting mixed behaviour are present in the dataset. We explored other methods for categorising accounts, e.g., labelling accounts as ‘ProUkraine’ or ‘ProRussia’ if they use only those types of hashtag. However, as we were primarily concerned with aggregated activity, we elected to prioritise labelling each account by their ‘usual’ behaviour.
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Oh wise one - Please let me know how you would interpret this.

What that stat says is that most people who tweeted about the event were pro-ukraine not pro-Russia.

Here let me answer this for you,

https://botometer.osome.iu.edu/

RadioGenova that you shared above would rate as a likely bot by the metrics. Same with DiscloseTV, SGM World News, those are just people you've shared in the last 2 pages. I could comb over more but the point stands.

Most people track as likely bots because of echo chamber. Which shouldn't be shocked by people tweeting said things.
 
What that stat says is that most people who tweeted about the event were pro-ukraine not pro-Russia.

Here let me answer this for you,

https://botometer.osome.iu.edu/

RadioGenova that you shared above would rate as a likely bot by the metrics. Same with DiscloseTV, SGM World News, those are just people you've shared in the last 2 pages. I could comb over more but the point stands.

Most people track as likely bots because of echo chamber. Which shouldn't be shocked by people tweeting said things.

This work investigates if and how bot-like accounts influence the online conversation around the Russian invasion of Ukraine during February 2022. We showed which account groups have measurable influence by aggregating accounts using their national lean and account bot-type label. The patterns of information flows between bot and non-bot account vary based on national lean: Pro-Russian non-bot accounts are most influential overall, with information flows to a variety of other account groups. No significant outward flows exist from pro-Ukrainian non-bot accounts, with significant flows from pro-Ukrainian bot accounts into pro-Ukrainian non-bot accounts.

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What this study showed was that the majority of the activity and influence of bot related accounts came from Pro-Ukranian influenced bots.

Continue to ignore the obvious. Its fine. We all see it.
 
This work investigates if and how bot-like accounts influence the online conversation around the Russian invasion of Ukraine during February 2022. We showed which account groups have measurable influence by aggregating accounts using their national lean and account bot-type label. The patterns of information flows between bot and non-bot account vary based on national lean: Pro-Russian non-bot accounts are most influential overall, with information flows to a variety of other account groups. No significant outward flows exist from pro-Ukrainian non-bot accounts, with significant flows from pro-Ukrainian bot accounts into pro-Ukrainian non-bot accounts.

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What this study showed was that the majority of the activity and influence of bot related accounts came from Pro-Ukranian influenced bots.

Continue to ignore the obvious. Its fine. We all see it.

Did you just ignore what I said? Read what was said. Maybe look up some twitter accounts you follow to see how bot likely they are.

I'll ask you a simple question. Do you think DiscloseTV is a bot account?
 
I saw a commentator make a really great observation on why NATO support in Ukraine has been so effective. If France sends an artillery piece, German shells can be fired through it. If you get an American rifle, British ammunition can be used.

The standardization across militaries that NATO has accomplished has multiplied the effectiveness of NATO assistance.
 
Did you just ignore what I said? Read what was said. Maybe look up some twitter accounts you follow to see how bot likely they are.

I'll ask you a simple question. Do you think DiscloseTV is a bot account?

You’re dismissing it because some real people share the same stuff. It’s a small portion of the total sample and many people have said big activity is well over 50% total Twitter activity.
 
Shooting a .223 is tactically advantageous over the Russian 7.62. We have known this for almost 40 years.


I was not aware they made anything other than rifle rounds standard
 
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Ukraine's biggest provider of armored vehicles is now...Russia. It would be rude not to send Flowers and a thank you note to Vlad the Dim.
 
Whatever the final outcome is the Russians should be embarrassed. They should have been able to take Ukraine out in a matter of weeks but couldn't.
 
From the first week of the invasion to now it is astounding how inept, unprepared and just plain lazy the Russian military is.

Point being this is who the focus of our defense has been since the mid 1940's
Which begs the parallel point, how lazy, unprepared and inept the US military

What a waste
 
Hey we agree?

NATO is irrelevant!

If the brilliant liberal world order didn’t give Putin the upper hand on energy the conflicts never happens. And of course if they didn’t execute a coup against the will of the Ukrainians back in 2014.
 
Make Sweden great again!

Kick out the parasitic migrants that are destroying this beautiful country.
 
Hey we agree?

NATO is irrelevant!

If the brilliant liberal world order didn’t give Putin the upper hand on energy the conflicts never happens. And of course if they didn’t execute a coup against the will of the Ukrainians back in 2014.

It is actually quite the opposite. A united Europe ( NATO) punched a Russia (Putin) in the face
Giving notice to those interested in taking up the Russian mantel of neighbor hood bully

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This interesting read from Anne Applebaum

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/a...=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=share
 
NATO is irrelevant and if not for maidan and submitting energy dominance Russia never tries anything.
 
From the outset, its been fairly obvious how exaggerated Russian military might has been.

I wouldn't agree that our military is such at all, except the fact we have stopped holding decision makers accountable it seems.
 
It is actually quite the opposite. A united Europe ( NATO) punched a Russia (Putin) in the face
Giving notice to those interested in taking up the Russian mantel of neighbor hood bully

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This interesting read from Anne Applebaum

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/a...=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=share

That article does bring up an interesting point. Are we prepared for Putin to be ousted? In some cases, yes. If a kleptocrat takes over, it might be the best result for the west. Someone interested mainly in returning to pre-war stability and lining their pockets wouldn't necessarily be the best outcome for the Russian people but de-escalation would be nice.

If there is a coup, I think a kelptocrat taking over is probably the most likely result. There are plenty of powerful men in Russia who have seen their lifestyles diminished by the war and so have motivation to remove Putin and return to better times for them. They also likely have the resources to make it happen. The main question is whether they have the spine.

If Putin is ousted by an even more extreme nationalist, that's a result we're less prepared for. Zealots are unpredictable but a zealot's regime would also be more unstable. If you get an extreme nationalist in power that decides on full mobilization, they will immediately become incredibly unpopular within Russia. It would make for a very unstable situation.

I think the least likely result if there's a change would be a liberal coming to power. The only way that happens is through a popular uprising which I see as far less likely than a palace coup.

I think we have to hope that if Putin is replaced it's with someone who wants stability and economic prosperity.
 
Trashing Russians and torturing them is not what you would want to happen if you are hoping a moderate ruler emerging after Putin but the Liberal World Order never gets geopolitics right so I'm sure they'll screw this up as well.
 
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Populist uprising in Canada as well.

Take Trump down all you want.

There is no stopping whats coming.
 
Wonder what the Klaus Schwabs of the world are thinking as they see the people rising up and saying **** YOU to the global centralization while calling all that oppose it racists?

Hope when we rise up we round up and torture all those that pushed forward policies that crushed the middle class of the world.
 
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