Recent content by conalthomas

In fairness, Altuve didn't have "Altuve power" (.250 ISO) when he was 22.

That sounds more like evolutionary psychologists rather than evolutionary biologists.

So, how much of the difference between baseball and football can be attributed to the difference in N in the two seasons? Football necessarily has a small N, so we would predict that luck (chance) has a disproportionate impact; it's possible to come up with teams with win percentages of 81% or...

Apoplectic?

Interesting link; thanks! High exit velocity guys do see a decrease in exit velocity from day 1, but the author attributed that to possibly coaching (young guys are swing too hard, and are taught to slow it down a bit). On the other hand, when you look at hits that are in the particular sweet...

Leprechauns are supposed to be big.

Thanks for the data and analysis. I find this sort of data very interesting, although I don't have much experience with it. How consistent are batted ball profiles (launch angles, exit velocities, etc.)? Is it likely to change for someone as young as Albies? Could he adjust his swing to...

Really interesting data set; thanks. There really isn't a good negative correlation with slider percentage and wOBA. A better case can be made if you only are looking at slider percentages above 25%, but there you run the risk of using a post facto test. There was no reason to choose a...

That's great for Dansby, and it's really helpful to see that data. Thanks.

Good for him! It's tough to bounce back from shoulder surgery.

It was just such a weird trade. Even if you are trying hard to think well of the Braves front office, it was really hard to see how it was a good idea from the very beginning.

I have an example of what I am talking about; stats people have made the argument that there is no such thing as a "hot-hand" in basketball, it's called the "Hot-Hand Fallacy". https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hot-hand_fallacy It's interesting because there are all these people claiming there...

That only appears to be true if you don't understand the argument being put forward. If an argument is put forward based on analysis, it is absolutely relevant to point out where that analysis might be error. This is definitely NOT an argument about semantics. It is a discussion about how to...

Everything you are saying is very reasonable, but it is definitely a slippery slope. So slippery, in fact, that there are rules in place to insure appropriate rigor in analysis. The longer your explanations are for why you are not following those rules, the more likely you are sliding...

Do you also throw out the particularly stupid trades (from the Braves point of view)?