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  1. dak

    2018 Offseason And Targets

    This would be a pretty light return for Realmuto. Barnhart has 3-4 years of control, but his framing stats are pretty bad. 1091758125101867009
  2. dak

    2018 Offseason And Targets

    Braves have expressed interest in Devin Mesoraco as 3rd catcher at AAA on an MiLB deal. https://www.mlb.com/braves/news/do-braves-have-interest-in-jt-realmuto/c-303416758?tid=218325368
  3. dak

    2019 BA Top 100

    Regarding Riley's defense, I still have concerns based on the available info. As recently as 12-18 months ago, there were reports from multiple evaluators that questioned whether he could stick at 3B and adjusted their valuation on him accordingly as a possible corner outfielder. The publicly...
  4. dak

    2018 Offseason And Targets

    I feel like the media and many fans would be over-the-moon with the Braves' offseason if AA had signed a 4-5 WAR position player to a massive 8-9 year contract plus a draft pick. He's instead signed a 4-5 WAR position player to a 1 year contract that may allow us to add a draft pick, and a lot...
  5. dak

    2018 Offseason And Targets

    I'm frankly surprised to see the Dodgers pay that much for Pollock in this climate. 4 / $55m plus the 34th pick is okay I guess, but thought it would be less. I've lost track on how the June draft picks are valued, but think the NPV on a pick in that range is probably $5-10m. Also, I...
  6. dak

    2018 Offseason And Targets

    Looking at available non-QO free agents, one roster spot that would be pretty easy to upgrade is the one slotted for Sam Freeman. Guys like Jake Diekman, Justin Wilson, Aaron Loup, and Oliver Perez all look like better match-up lefties to me.
  7. dak

    2018 Offseason And Targets

    Markakis signs the exact same deal as Tyler Flowers. Simple human nature had me hoping for an exciting new option in RF, but this is very clearly a good value. I can only hope that AA has made it clear to him that he's not going to play 162 games. He needs more days off against LH SP.
  8. dak

    2018 Offseason And Targets

    Looking at the defensive metrics on Asdrubal, there is a stark difference the past few years in the UZR metrics used in fWAR versus the DRS metrics used in bWAR. From what I've seen of him, I buy more into the DRS numbers that show him as a below average defender. I see him as more of a 1-2...
  9. dak

    2018 Offseason And Targets

    This trade is getting weird. Stowers does not seem to be enough for Shed Long on the surface. Maybe the industry is not really valuing Long as a FV 50 asset.
  10. dak

    2018 Offseason And Targets

    Joc Pederson would also fit our roster well.
  11. dak

    2018 Offseason And Targets

    I think a LHH OF is a better fit for our roster with Duvall, Camargo, Culberson, and maybe Riley seeing some corner OF ABs already. Markakis is surely one of the 3, and CarGo is probably another in my view. As far the 3rd via the trade market, I'll guess someone along the lines of Nomar Mazara...
  12. dak

    2018 Offseason And Targets

    Another perspective on the AA 70% comment . . . 1085175362135429120
  13. dak

    2018 Offseason And Targets

    This is the biggest factor that has me racking me brain on the Mets actions. They have a zillion infielders, and only one reasonable option to play SS amongst them. To contrast, the Braves have 4 guys who can play SS. Maybe the Mets have another move coming? 1083507959290707970
  14. dak

    2018 Offseason And Targets

    This is a fine value, but it really makes me question the thinking of that J. D. Davis trade. This new Mets front office feels a little shaky so far.
  15. dak

    2018 Offseason And Targets

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  16. dak

    2018 Offseason And Targets

    The whole thing is obviously complex, but the trickiest valuation element for me is Jeter Downs. Some of the twitter sound bites on this guy are eye-popping for a guy in the back half of the top 10 on BA's list.
  17. dak

    2018 Offseason And Targets

    I see this trade the same way. The Reds seem like a slight winner here on a valuation basis, but I don't know if I agree with their strategy.
  18. dak

    2018 Offseason And Targets

    After all these recent SP signings, the Teheran contract is looking better. Probably not under water at all . . . or at least close to the surface.
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