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  1. J

    07/19/2019 GDT Nats @ Braves Slump Buster 3: The Follow Through to FINNISH

    Fourth in the league behind Hoskins, The Brat, and Bellinger.
  2. J

    Great article on evaluating value of Catchers.

    Excellent article. Another layer to add would be salary. Who has the best catcher value per dollar? Another point: Isn't the devaluing of the category related to throwing out base stealers the flip side of devaluing stolen bases?
  3. J

    GDT 6/10/19: Running it back vs the Pirates

    That is a bit of a myth. Chipper’s first season he played in 140 of 144 games (1995 was strike-shortened in April). Then over the next Seven seasons he never played in fewer than 156 games, and even in season 9 he played in 153. Due to injuries his games per season dropped significantly after...
  4. J

    Harold Baines to the HoF

    And right on cue, Curt strikes again. Agree or disagree with his position, stuff like this hurts his HOF chances.
  5. J

    Harold Baines to the HoF

    Schilling and Mussina should both be in. It's pretty obvious that personalities do come into play in HOF politics. All other things considered equal, perceived good guys have a leg up over perceived oddballs.
  6. J

    Harold Baines to the HoF

    The Harold Baines All-Star Team. Those rough contemporaries who have a similar JAWS ranking as Baines (73rd) at their positions. P Dave Stieb C Mike Stanley 1B Andres Galarraga 2B Brett Boone SS Roy Smalley 3B Melvin Mora LF Carlos Lee CF Lance Johnson RF Baines In other words, the Hall of...
  7. J

    Harold Baines to the HoF

    He should be the hall of very long careers. That’s it.
  8. J

    Harold Baines to the HoF

    Wow. 22 years in the bigs with exactly 2 season of greater than a 3 WAR. We should start a list of much better outfielder types who are in the Veterans Committee (or whatever it is called now) classification and are not in the Hall. My list: Murphy, Parker, Pinson, Evans, Gonzalez (x2) Wynn...
  9. J

    WS Win Percentages at BP and FG

    The kicker, and the reason BP likes us is this: You can't win the WS unless you get to the WS, and BP sees the Braves' path to get to the WS as easier than some teams, especially those who are still in a fight for the division. Having to play the WC game greatly decreases the otherwise odds of...
  10. J

    2018: The Year Of The Venezuelan Trout

    Top ten Comps to J-Hey through age 27: Moseby, Melvin, Jr., Frenchy, Claudell, Willie Davis, Carlos May, The Melkman, Johnny Callison, Delmon Young, and Chili Davis. There's not enough DWar in the world (especially for a RF) to transform any of the above into a HoFer. Heyward will not be in...
  11. J

    GDT- 8/14/18 ....RETURN OF THE NIGHT OF THE ANIBAL- THIS TIME HE MEANS WAR

    Yep. ISO through age 20, Minimum of 280 PAs: 1) RA, Jr. at .288. 2-10) Ted W., Horner, F.Robinson, Stanton, Soto, Conigliaro, A Roid, Correa, and The American Acuna (at .226). It's interesting that 5 of the 10 (Acuna, Stanton, Soto, Correa, and Trout) are very recent guys. Two are players...
  12. J

    2018: The Year Of The Venezuelan Trout

    Top 5 ISO in MLB history, with at least 250 PAs, age 20 or less: 1) Ott .306 2) Teddy W.281, 3) ARoid .273, 4) Horner .272, 5) Acuna .270. It's not a stretch if he makes it into the top 3 by season's end. BTW, Soto is 8th at .246, which is #1 among 19 year olds.
  13. J

    Ozzie Albies thread

    Bump, with an update through 7/10: 145 games played, 659 PA's. 38 doubles, 8 triples, 24 homers, Slash line .285, .335, .493.. oWAR 4.3, dwar 0.7. But here's the best part, IMHO: BABIP .307 (sustainable) HR/FB 8.8% (sustainable, the MLB average is 9.6%). That, friends, is a jump-start to a...
  14. J

    Albies vs Altuve

    The thing is, even when Odor was “good” he amassed 1.9 WAR in 870 PAs through his age 21 season. Ozzie is at 3.2 in about 400 fewer PAs. Even if he “levels out’” over the rest of the season, he will more than double Odors WAR through age 21 in roughly the same number of PAs.
  15. J

    Albies vs Altuve

    I thought I would give this thread a little update. Ozzie, approximate 1/3 of the way through his age 21 season has posted WAR of 3.2 in 459 PAs. Since 1901, how many 2B have posted more than 3.2 WAR through their age 21 seasons? Six. Listed according to WAR and PAs through age 21: Alomar...
  16. J

    Could the Braves win 90 games this season?

    Agree that pitching is the key. Even when things (BABIP, HR/FB) regress to the norm, it appears that the offense will still be solid, if not league-best.
  17. J

    BABIP Gods Smile on Braves

    Also on BB-Ref. under advanced batting stats.
  18. J

    Could the Braves win 90 games this season?

    If we go 67-67 the rest of the way, it's 84-78.
  19. J

    GDT: 4/28/2018 Braves @ Phillies

    Just how bad was Francouer as a baseball player? 101 players in baseball history, who played at least half of their games in RF, had at least 5000 plate appearances. Jeff ranks 99th in WAR with 6.7. As a good, very familiar RF comparison, Brian Jordan had an almost equal number (5646 to 5661) of...
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