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We are in our own area right now. Today's update: 2. Pirates 3. Twins 1.5 GB 4. Braves 4 GB 5. Orioles 6.5 GB 6. Marlins 6.5 GB 7. Athletics 6.5 GB

Horton jumped to -280 after his start. I’m afraid to say that we are officially done here.

Finishing fourth definitely seems like best case scenario to me based on how bad the Pirates and Twins are, plus remaining schedules. I would happily take fourth right now.

Today's update: 2. Pirates 3. Twins 1.5 GB 4. Braves 2.5 GB 5. Orioles 5.5 GB 6. Marlins 5.5 GB 7. Athletics 5.5 GB

Slight shift overnight. Horton from -170 to -160. Baldwin from +180 to +150. Big night tonight. Horton starts against Skenes and the Pirates. In the Pirates' last 10 games, they've scored over three runs just twice - and both times they only reached five runs. They are miserable offensively...

Updated standings: 2. Pirates 3. Twins .5 GB 4. Braves 1.5 GB 5. Orioles 4.5 GB 6. Marlins 5 GB 7. Athletics 5 GB

Another big shift overnight. Horton from -145 to -170. Baldwin from +135 to +180. One more dominant Horton start tomorrow night, and we'll probably be able to turn the lights off here. Such a bummer. I can't believe how Baldwin has tanked in recent weeks.

Athletics come back to win, but that’s about the only positive.

Bummer, I didn’t realize that. We really might be close to locked into the 4 spot.

Not a huge surprise with how bad Baldwin has been, but odds shifted more toward Horton overnight. Horton: -130 to -145 Baldwin: +125 to +135

Updated standings: 2. Pirates 3. Twins .5 GB 4. Braves .5 GB 5. Athletics 4 GB 6. Marlins 4.5 GB 7. Orioles 5 GB

And now the Marlins win.

I believe floor for 4th would be 10. But the bad news there is that Washington, LAA and St Louis could all be locked into those 10-12 spots. I think the chance of us going from 4 to 10 was less than 1% though.

Just squint your eyes and pretend they’re playoff standings.

Great night yesterday. We lose and wins from the Twins, Marlins annd Athletics. Updated standings: 2. Pirates 3. Twins 1.5 GB 4. Braves 1.5 GB 5. Athletics 4 GB 6. Marlins 5 GB 7. Orioles 5.5 GB

Marlins and Orioles win today. Pirates lose and take over second odds by themselves. Updated standings: 2. Pirates 3. Twins (0.5 GB) 4. Braves (1.5 GB) 5. Athletics (3 GB) 6. Marlins (4 GB) 7. Orioles (5.5 GB)

No odds movement overnight. We really need Drake to get going this weekend. He now has 5 hits in his last 31 at bats since the homer off Alvarado.

Pretty successful day yesterday with the Athletics, Marlins and Orioles all winning. The Pirates and Twins are just so bad and keep losing, so we can't get any ground on them. But nice to get some cushion in the fourth spot. Updated standings: T2. Twins T2. Pirates 4. Braves (1 GB) 5...

And a bloop single right after I posted that:

Gil is 0-8 with three Ks in his first two games at Double A.