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  1. nsacpi

    TLHLIM

    eh no one is claiming that...it is a multitude of policy interventions...those two are prominent examples
  2. nsacpi

    Global Events & Politics Überthread

    It seems to me that there is an alternative. Which is to bypass the Strait and use Oman as a transshipment hub. Look at the map. Build pipelines and other infrastructure in Oman. It will take time but the logic is strong.
  3. nsacpi

    Global Events & Politics Überthread

    I think the pressure will build very fast to declare victory and get out of Dodge.
  4. nsacpi

    Global Events & Politics Überthread

    Most of the feedstock for sulfuric acid also transits through the Strait. Sulfuric acid is needed to extract copper and cobalt. Which are needed for transformers, EV batteries and data centers.
  5. nsacpi

    Global Events & Politics Überthread

    Now let's talk about food. 33% of the world's nitrogen fertilizer feedstock moves through the Strait. Half of all humans alive today exist because of synthetic nitrogen.
  6. nsacpi

    Global Events & Politics Überthread

    Qatar ships 30% of Taiwan's liquefied natural gas through Hormuz. Taiwan has 11 days of reserves left. TSMC, the company that makes 90% of the world's advanced chips, draws 8.9% of Taiwan's total electricity. No gas, no power, no chips. Even before this war broke out supply chains were...
  7. nsacpi

    Global Events & Politics Überthread

    In this country we are looking at oil prices, but the interruption in natural gas supplies is of greater economic importance to Europe and Asia.
  8. nsacpi

    Global Events & Politics Überthread

    The Australians need to have someone to make fun of for their incomprehensible way of speaking.
  9. nsacpi

    TLHLIM

    I'm in favor of letting people decide whether to smoke or not. And I'm in favor of using governmental resources to provide them with information about the health effects of smoking. Blue states devote more resources to this. As a result, more people are persuaded not to smoke. Seems to me...
  10. nsacpi

    TLHLIM

    Declines in smoking are the largest drivers of mortality reduction in both subperiods, while educational upgrading is the next largest. In view of the close association between educational attainment and health/mortality, a number of studies have investigated the extent to which educational...
  11. nsacpi

    TLHLIM

    Of course these people are academics, so their findings about the benefits of educational attainment should be taken with a grain of salt.
  12. nsacpi

    TLHLIM

    Another paper touching on some of these topics: https://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/48797784.pdf?casa_token=348M6JsmiZcAAAAA:bY7WT-POpck9pU6_w54cTtbZPVHiG4dlxqPnf8Ibqvi4I2ekfYMaSz30IY8l7nn4KxN0NBvMCpNaJz3JPlEO-yoM3xy_pJTdKELFLl51agGbXaHs METHODS We investigate the contribution of socio-behavioral...
  13. nsacpi

    TLHLIM

    yeah i'm ok with the police enforcing seat belt laws by ticketing those of us who neglect to do so and i'm in favor of the laws enacted by some countries and states that allow for doctor-assisted suicide and I'm for policies that remind people of the harms caused by cigarette smoking the...
  14. nsacpi

    TLHLIM

    Yes. Not only do I agree with the blue state approaches on smoking and seatbelts. I generally agree with all of the different health-related policies that have produced such superior outcomes in blue states.
  15. nsacpi

    TLHLIM

    absolutely...ohio thinks it is inappropriate to nag people about smoking and wearing a seatbelt having been ticketed for not wearing a seatbelt while in California, I know California and other states take a different approach...it is annoying but saves lives
  16. nsacpi

    TLHLIM

    This is a study of how outcomes change over time. Racial and ethnic composition does not change much from decade to decade. Race/ethnicity accounts for a lot of the geographic dispersion we observe, but does not account for the changes in the geographic dispersion over time.
  17. nsacpi

    TLHLIM

    from post 8773 House Republicans in April blocked DeWine’s proposal to allow police officers to pull over cars when they see drivers or their passengers not wearing seat belts. In contrast, New York in 1984 became the first state to enact such a law, followed by 34 others.
  18. nsacpi

    TLHLIM

    Another interesting paper that looks at international comparisons: https://www.pnas.org/doi/pdf/10.1073/pnas.2024850118 It is widely recognized that the United States has fallen behind other wealthy countries in measures of mortality. This phenomenon was highlighted in two volumes by the...
  19. nsacpi

    TLHLIM

    I agree with this final observation by the authors. Red states are not fated to forever fall behind. But it doesn't happen by magic. It happens through the adoption of better policies. There are some ideological barriers to this but they are not impermeable.
  20. nsacpi

    TLHLIM

    Two proponents of the importance of institutions in development have observed that “England in the nineteenth century was . . . a very unhealthy place, but the government gradually invested in clean water, in the proper treatment of sewage and effluent, and eventually in an effective health...
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