2020 Field

I think a little prediction humility is in order given how wrong most were in 2016, but giving Trump better than 50-50 feels overly generous, IMO
 
I'm afraid what he's done with the mail and other vote suppressing actions, some we may not even know yet, will be enough to hijack the outcome and send it to the Supreme Court. I don't think he can win, only that he and the GOP can steal it or at least send it to the Supreme Court.

Are you guys 100% confident that he won't be able to cheat enough to shave off enough votes to muddy the outcome?
 
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Runnin said:
I'm afraid what he's done with the mail and other vote suppressing actions, some we may not even know yet, will be enough to hijack the outcome and send it to the Supreme Court. I don't think he can win, only that he and the GOP can steal it or at least send it to the Supreme Court.

Are you guys 100% confident that he won't be able to cheat enough to shave off enough votes to muddy the outcome?
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Could happen. Look at the Iowa caucuses. It doesn't even take malign intentions to create chaos on election night.

However, a ten point lead provides a lot of cushion against weird things happening.
 
nsacpi said:
Could happen. Look at the Iowa caucuses. It doesn't even take malign intentions to create chaos on election night.

However, a ten point lead provides a lot of cushion against weird things happening.
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I think all he has to do is convince enough goons to strong arm in key counties. Even if they're caught, he thinks the Supreme Court will protect him. He's on a razor's edge and losing is not an option. I hope I'm wrong.
 
Less people identifying themself as Democrat than in 2016 indicates at least some disgust from the normies of the rush to socialism and insanity (CRT)

One can hope anyway

Or maybe NYC and California are so dreadful that its just them pushing people away

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Runnin said:
I think all he has to do is convince enough goons to strong arm in key counties. Even if they're caught, he thinks the Supreme Court will protect him. He's on a razor's edge and losing is not an option. I hope I'm wrong.
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This why you guys are insane.

Once again ee have record turnout and somehow Trump is sending around goonies ti supress a vote.

Yall have built up this super villian in your head that aint there
 
acesfull86 said:
I think a little prediction humility is in order given how wrong most were in 2016, but giving Trump better than 50-50 feels overly generous, IMO
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The demographics just dont support Republicans. He could get the same percent of each group he got in 2016 and he would lose just based on shifting demographics. He isnt going to win with 62 million votes this time. 65 million is the bottom of the barrell I think he can win with. Will he pick up 2.5 million votes? I would guess so as the voter total is ever increasing. I think the increased voter turnout is going to break big for Biden, like 80/20 or 70/30 kind of big. He just isnt the despised political figure Hillary is.
 
cajunrevenge said:
The demographics just dont support Republicans.
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To be fair, people were saying the exact same thing (the Republican party was no longer viable at a national level because demographic trends were all going against them) from Obama's 2012 win until about 5:00 PM ET on election night in 2016.

Then Trump won.

I think he'll lose this time around due to 202 being a total ****show for him, not because of demographic trends. I think he would have won the election if it was held in November of 2019.
 
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acesfull86 said:
To be fair, people were saying the exact same thing (the Republican party was no longer viable at a national level because demographic trends were all going against them) from Obama's 2012 win until about 5:00 PM ET on election night in 2016.

Then Trump won.

I think he'll lose this time around due to 202 being a total ****show for him, not because of demographic trends. I think he would have won the election if it was held in November of 2019.
Click to expand...

The demographics still don’t support republicans

A minority portion of this country voted for him

The system is rigged up for the minority party to hold power and govern
 
NoelCaslerComedy
@CaslerNoel
·
20h
The guy who flashed the white power sign behind Trump at his

rally in FL was wearing a Proud Boys hat (laurel wreaths) the folks

placed behind Trump are handpicked by his campaign aides.

It was no accident. The racism is a feature not a bug. Vote.
 
Brilliant point

Hey, you are paying attention to what the president says

So

You must be a racist cause you are pointing out his (metaphorical) dog whistles that embolden the racists that support him

All because fb is using the definition as a literal dog whistle lol
 
One side sees racism everywhere!

But doesn't recognize that Chelsea Handler said a racist piece of **** today. This is how they think
 
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