2022 Elections

mqt said:
thethe,

What’s the worst result for Republicans that you’d consider a win tonight? Flipping the House but not the Senate?
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Not flipping either chamber is a loss. Not getting to 52 seats in senate is a loss.
 
Just a masterclass in competent governance

Taking a 50/50 state to 15 pt victory in four years is unimaginable

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Nevada and Georgia seem likely to go R (tho likely a runoff in GA).

Arizona and PA will be close but gut feeling is those go D.

Republicans end up with a 51 majority.
 
chop2chip said:
Nevada and Georgia seem likely to go R (tho likely a runoff in GA).

Arizona and PA will be close but gut feeling is those go D.

Republicans end up with a 51 majority.
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Is this the consensus? Apparently twitter won't let me read any more without creating an account so I'm stuck bouncing between big boards on cable. shudder.
 
FWIW, on PredictIt you can buy GOP to control the Senate at 65 cents a share vs 35 cents for (D). Three hours ago it was 82 cents (R) vs 18 cents (D).
 
acesfull86 said:
FWIW, on PredictIt you can buy GOP to control the Senate at 65 cents a share vs 35 cents for (D). Three hours ago it was 82 cents (R) vs 18 cents (D).
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I haven't looked at PredictIt since 2016. Does that mean Dem chances to hold are perceived as better than 3 hours ago?
 
If there was going to be a red wave, I think it would be apparent by now. Seems like (R) momentum stopped at the Florida border. My guess is they take the House and lose the Senate, which IMO is an embarrassing showing given the political climate. Hopefully their takeaway will be that the obvious 24 nominee is the guy who just annihilated his opponent in what used to be a purple state.
 
acesfull86 said:
If there was going to be a red wave, I think it would be apparent by now. Seems like (R) momentum stopped at the Florida border. My guess is they take the House and lose the Senate, which IMO is an embarrassing showing given the political climate. Hopefully their takeaway will be that the obvious 24 nominee is the guy who just annihilated his opponent in what used to be a purple state.
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That’s my prediction. It’s apparent that DeSantis can beat anyone on the left (other than Michelle Obama) but I can’t say the same for Trump.
 
acesfull86 said:
If there was going to be a red wave, I think it would be apparent by now. Seems like (R) momentum stopped at the Florida border. My guess is they take the House and lose the Senate, which IMO is an embarrassing showing given the political climate. Hopefully their takeaway will be that the obvious 24 nominee is the guy who just annihilated his opponent in what used to be a purple state.
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Turns out running the CTE skull and the TV doctor wasn’t a good idea.
 
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