2022 Trade Deadline

How could the Braves possibly get Soto?

It would have to involve flipping Anderson for prospects, and then taking Soto/Corbin for the Anderson prospects plus additional prospects. Maybe something centered around Wright/Strider could work, but I don’t think the Nats want present value for Soto.

If you squint really hard you can see it, but I can’t imagine AA goes to those lengths in the middle of the season to acquire anyone.

I would wait for Preller to call, and then see how crazy I could make him act trying to get Soto to SD. If AA is smart he might be able to swoop in and take advantage of Preller’s excitement somehow by helping SD up money.
 
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How could the Braves possibly get Soto?

It would have to involve flipping Anderson for prospects, and then taking Soto/Corbin for the Anderson prospects plus additional prospects.

If you squint really hard you can see it, but I can’t imagine AA goes to those lengths in the middle of the season to acquire anyone.

Not that it would happen but probably something like Anderson, Strider, Harris, Muller, and Grissom. Probably well short of what it would take too.
 
Not that it would happen but probably something like Anderson, Strider, Harris, Muller, and Grissom. Probably well short of what it would take too.

See that’s just silly. There’s no way any team could give up half of a starting lineup for 1 guy. This narrative that Soto is going to cost some insane package is nonsense, doubly so if they attach Corbin to him.

Most likely it will be something like a FV 60 guy (there are no prospects higher than that currently in the sport), a couple 50s, and filler. That’s a Top 10 overall guy, a couple Top 100 guys, and then some lottery ticket fillers.

Packages bigger than that simply don’t exist, and no contender is going to tear apart their MLB roster just to get 1 player. Futher, why would the Nats want anyone that’s MLB ready when they won’t be ready to contend for at least 2-3 more seasons, thus wasting the value of guys like Harris and Strider?
 
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See that’s just silly. There’s no way any team could give up half of a starting lineup for 1 guy. This narrative that Soto is going to cost some insane package is nonsense, doubly so if they attach Corbin to him.

Most likely it will be something like a FV 60 guy (there are no prospects higher than that currently in the sport), a couple 50s, and filler. That’s a Top 10 overall guy, a couple Top 100 guys, and then some lottery ticket fillers.

Packages bigger than that simply don’t exist, and no contender is going to tear apart their roster just to get 1 player.

We'll just have to see what he ultimately ends up going for. But i do agree, i cant see a team gutting their farm and some of their major league team for one player, albeit a great ass player. Especially if they take on Corbin's deal too. I'd agree on Padres being the team, probably just to so the Dodgers cant get him.
 
Looking through this list, there are very few teams who can even put together a package of a 60 plus a couple 50s:

https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects...ranking?sort=-1,1&type=100&filter=&pos=&team=

Cleveland, Boston, Yankees, Mets, Cards, and Padres are the only contenders would could even afford Soto. If it’s really Soto plus Corbin, Cleveland is out, and most of the rest of those teams don’t have room under the cap.

My prediction is Preller goes nuts trying to free up payroll to get Soto in SD, and hopefully AA is trying to take advantage of him being desperate.
 
Rough estimate for his surplus value is 15 wins times $8M is $120M, minus his projected arb salaries totally around $50M is around $70M.

A FV 60 prospect like Abrams would be worth close to $60M all by himself, and would cover the bulk of Soto’s value.

No idea what process the thing quoted in that tweet is using, but it seems a bit outlandish. Folks seem to forget Soto is going to make huge salaries in his final arb years (he will likely set records), and that salary reduces his value quite a bit.

I don't pretend to know how teams value players in terms of trades, but he's been the 2nd best hitter behind only Trout since 2018. And he's 23. I don't know how much more valuable you can get.
 
I know they couldn’t afford him but if I was the Brewers I’d send everything I could to aquire him.
They have always been a bat or two away from a WS run and putting him in that lineup would make them a legit contender with the pitching they have.
 
I don't pretend to know how teams value players in terms of trades, but he's been the 2nd best hitter behind only Trout since 2018. And he's 23. I don't know how much more valuable you can get.

You can be more valuable by being better on defense and being signed longer to a better deal. Which is why Acuna for example would bring back more in a trade than Soto. It's all about that surplus value baby.
 
You can be more valuable by being better on defense and being signed longer to a better deal. Which is why Acuna for example would bring back more in a trade than Soto. It's all about that surplus value baby.

I know he's sucks on defense, but you can always DH him. And WAR doesn't seem to properly value the DH, imo. 23 year old truly elite hitters rarely become available in a trade, so I don't think teams will be using the standard reason this one.
 
Basically look at the Olsen deal and add a true premium prospect to it. That’s what Soto is worth. 70-100 mm surplus value. If they stupidly attach Corbin to it it’s 50-80 mm surplus. Then you are right back to similar package as Olsen trade.
 
Would something like this be even remotely close?

Anderson
Contreras
Grissom
Muller
Shewmake
Shuster
Royber
Tarnok

Probably not. Not because it isn't valuable enough, but because they are probably looking for prospects and the 2 most valuable pieces in that deal have 1+ years of service already (Anderson will surpass 2 years before the end of the season most likely).
 
I don't pretend to know how teams value players in terms of trades, but he's been the 2nd best hitter behind only Trout since 2018. And he's 23. I don't know how much more valuable you can get.

He could be 19 and that wouldn’t change the fact he’s only controlled for 2.5 years, and will earn something like $25M in 2023 and $30M in 2024.

Yes, teams put a premium on star players that goes beyond typical dollar/win calculations, but this narrative that Soto is somehow worth half of a contending lineup is nonsense. For one, no such prospect package exists in the sport, and no contender would gut their MLB roster to add a single player.
 
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