2024 Field

[thethe]

Have to do whatever it takes to make sure RFK is on the ballot in every single state.

 

[sturg33]

Pretty big shift in a month

[Tw]1772571678943445254[/tw]

 

[Tapate50]

Pretty much.

I believe there was a report that team Biden was scrambling to start a campaign vs RFK immediately.

Seems like in scramble mode

 

[thethe]

Pretty big shift in a month

[Tw]1772571678943445254[/tw]

I'm eager to see you psoting these when it goes back in the other direction....

 

[sturg33]

I'm eager to see you psoting these when it goes back in the other direction....

I usually can't beat you to the punch. 90% of polls I see are from you

 

[thethe]

[tw]1772581029884145888[/tw]

Here is a more likely one as third parties will be listed in quite of a few of these states.

Don't be too upset now...

 

[sturg33]

I might have to cry!

 

[Garmel]

Biden got a bump after the SOTU. Not sure how long it will last.

 

[thethe]

Biden got a bump after the SOTU. Not sure how long it will last.

I don't think its that - All of these polls have MOE's of +/- 3 points about.

This is just normal movement. Trendlines are much more imporatnt than individual polls.

 

[Carp]

I will go on the record right now and say Biden will not win re-election with an approval rating hovering around 40%. He's going to need it to climb to at least 45-46% to even have a shot. No incumbent has won re-election with an approval rating below 48% leading up to the election. If the election was held today, Biden wouldn't even crack 220 electoral vote.

 

[nsacpi]

[tw]1772639752363118945[/tw]

I think this pick likely results in RFK Jr pulling more from Biden than Trump…

Eh

 

[sturg33]

I don't think its that - All of these polls have MOE's of +/- 3 points about.

This is just normal movement. Trendlines are much more imporatnt than individual polls.

RCP average had Trump +4.3 at start of Feb, today its Trump 1.6

 

[thethe]

RCP average had Trump +4.3 at start of Feb, today its Trump 1.6

Not according to this:

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-biden

Where are you getting your figures from?

 

[sturg33]

Not according to this:

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-biden

Where are you getting your figures from?

Jan 27th, the margin was 4.3

 

[Carp]

This was from February: https://www.newsweek.com/joe-biden-chances-donald-trump-2024-election-1869015


FWIW, they have been the most accurate pollster over the last several presidential elections.

 

[msstate7]

If Biden wins, wonder who Trump runs against in 2028

 

[thethe]

Jan 27th, the margin was 4.3

You are absoultely damaged and hysterial.

Lets go further back - Since Jan 10th TRUMP HAS GROWN HIS LEAD!

I can't get over how infected you've become.

 

[sturg33]

You are absoultely damaged and hysterial.

Lets go further back - Since Jan 10th TRUMP HAS GROWN HIS LEAD!

I can't get over how infected you've become.

What on earth?

You asked to look at trends and I pointed out his lead has shrunk the last two months

 

[thethe]

What on earth?

You asked to look at trends and I pointed out his lead has shrunk the last two months

You picked an arbitrary end point to push a narrative. Everyone knows what you did. You know what you did.

In what it is. TDS is ugly.

 

[sturg33]

You picked an arbitrary end point to push a narrative. Everyone knows what you did. You know what you did.

In what it is. TDS is ugly.

LOL

I looked at the peak of his lead that my eyes were drawn to and pointed out that it has been cut in half in two months

You really shouldn't get so triggered from pointing out a simple data point

The Bloomberg poll shows a shift from Feb. You dismiss it.

The national polls have narrowed since polls. You get triggered.

It's gonna be OK, fella