5/10... vs astros

The wRC of each player in the season preceding the free agent contract received:

Encarnacion: 132 wRC - 3 years 60 million

Nelson Cruz: 137 wRC - 4 years 58 million

Mark Trumbo: 123 wRC - 3 years 37.5 million

Kemp has a 132 wRC as a Brave, which is roughly in line with his career 124 wRC.

If we are using that as a barometer, then I think his true value is somewhere between what Trumbo and Encarncion signed for.

Spot on analysis.

Trade value is surplus value above the rate of his contract. Those guys just went to the highest bidder, therefore, by definition, have nearly zero trade value. If anyone valued them more than those contracts they would have signed elsewhere, so nobody is going to give up a prospect asset for the honor of paying a contract they didn't want to give the guy when he was a FA.

If Kemp is "worth" about 3/40 compared to recent similar FA signings, but is owed 3/47, he has a negative trade value of around $5M-$10M.
 
Markakis

Garcia

Suzuki

Need 2... I say slightly worse odds than winning the lottery in back-to-back months
 
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