5/25 Braves seeking runs, any kind of runs, vs Brewers

Nick has -0.4 fWar right now and we're paying him 11 million. No big deal though.

This is why a snapshot on any given day is not a good way to evaluate players. I don't know what his numbers will be going forward, but I doubt they will be this.
 
Liberty Media has no participation in baseball operations. They don't set a budget, add or take away funds or make any input on player development or rosters per an agreement they signed with MLB before the stock swap was approved that brought the braves to them. McGuirk runs the show and the only thing they do is approve the annual budget he presents to them, which , as long as it does not exceed revenue they always will. I know a guy who'd accounting firm did the diligence on the TW/LM deal and he broke it all down for us. Liberty basically owns the Braves like you own a mutual fund. It's yours, but you don't have any say so in the day to day operations.

Not to mention that I don't think Swanson/Albies does anything noticeable for the bottom line. Only hard core ppl are following the minor leagues. They are not going to get 10K for Swanson. If they come up and start doing things, maybe.
 
I'd expect they would, too, but marginal improvement won't make that snapshot look much better.

There are times that anyone's snapshot can make them look like a star or a bum. I am just not in favor of posting a snapshot to try to tell a story that it doesn't really tell.
 
There are times that anyone's snapshot can make them look like a star or a bum. I am just not in favor of posting a snapshot to try to tell a story that it doesn't really tell.

What about several years of consistent decline in production, setting a clear trend supported by expected diminution with age?
 
What about several years of consistent decline in production, setting a clear trend supported by expected diminution with age?

That's not what the original post said. It looked at today's numbers and drew a conclusion.

I am finished talking about this. I was just uncomfortable with the way those numbers were used. Certainly not wanting a long discussion about trend data.
 
My crystal ball is a little fuzzy. History suggests they will improve at least marginally, but time will tell.

History suggests that players at Nick's age are prone to decline at any moment. It also suggests that he he has been in that decline for some time now. What about Nick's game do you expect to improve? His power? His defense? Maybe he will get lucky and have a high BABIP the rest of the way.
 
That's not what the original post said. It looked at today's numbers and drew a conclusion.

I am finished talking about this. I was just uncomfortable with the way those numbers were used. Certainly not wanting a long discussion about trend data.

Did it make you uncomfortable when people said BJ was horrible two months into his ATL career?

It's not like people warned about this sort of thing when Nick was signed.
 
this is why snapshots can be misleading. i don't think it's a stretch to say Neck has been a tad unlucky.

Nick Markakis‘ power may be coming back. After undergoing a surgery to repair a herniated disc in December 2014, he put up pretty disappointing power numbers in the 2015 season. He kept his batting average high, though, showing it wasn’t necessarily a large drop in skill, but rather, perhaps, a weakness in his arms or back that limited his ability to drive the ball. His power production reached an all time low in 2015, with three home runs and an ISO of .080. This year, and yes, I am aware he only has one home run, and it only came a few days ago, his power seems to be taking a step forward. His xSLG is .411, as a result of nineteen balls that had a greater than 1/3 chance of being an extra base hit, including four that had had a greater than 1/3 chance of being a home run. His expected AVG is .294, right around his career average, and his xBABIP and xOBA are .341 and .368 respectively. In addition, his average exit velocity is up from 89mph to 93mph, and his average launch angle improved from 7.5 to 9.4 degrees. It appears that Nick has managed to reintroduce some pop into his bat without sacrificing any other aspect of his game. Although he has perhaps lost a few homers to bad luck this season, he is still on pace to hit 10-12, in addition to potentially a career high in doubles. He hit 48 in 2008 with the Orioles, and so far he is on pace for 49 this year.

Expected: .284/.388/.400

To date: .234/.347/.323

Career: .289/.359/.426

http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/eight-players-under-performing-their-xoba/
 
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