I haven't been able to watch the games.
Has someone gone through the pitchfx again?
I'm surprised by the walks. I am more worried about the lack of Ks. Is he taking something off his stuff to get better command?
A two pitch pitcher that only has 3 Ks in 6 innings is Chuck James, right?
Is that sustainable? We want Newcombe to be TOR. He should be striking more guys out, right?
His velo is holding very consistent. Other than that single FA he threw at 96.2 in his first game, he has held right at 92-94. While that isn't the 96+ MPH monster we were sold his entire minor league career, that is certainly enough velo to be a TOR.
He is going to need that change if he is going to have long term success vs RHers. Having a CU and a SL is great, even if a bit redundant, but he needs something that stays away from RHers. In fact, it already looks like he is starting to shelve the slider, throwing only 2 last night that were classified as SL by statcast. He also threw 2 change ups last night, so he was a 2 pitch guy last night. That is NOT good enough to be a TOR guy. That is a BP guy or a #4 SP.
He also needs to tighten up location, as too many pitches are left in hittable spots. Look at his FA location to RHers last night:
http://www.fangraphs.com/zonegrid.a...l&blur=1&grid=10&view=pit&pitch=FA&season=all
That is a lot of red pumped right down the middle of the plate.
Same thing with his CU vs RHers:
http://www.fangraphs.com/zonegrid.a...l&blur=1&grid=10&view=pit&pitch=CU&season=all
So the conclusion for Newcomb after 3 starts is the same it was after his first start...
4 seamer at 93 with good movement, a 60+ pitch
curve with good break, a 60+ pitch
non-existent change that will be required
needs to work on pitching to spots rather than just throwing strikes, 45 command