you could argue, he should have shut the gNats out last night. a Competent LF and some veteran focus could have prevented both runs that did score. I am still excited about gohard just for the fact that his floor is so high. His biggest issue imo, is his injury track record and staying in shape.
I don't put much stock into results when I'm evaluating players moving forward, so I don't care about how many runs he gave up. I'm looking for indications of true talent because I consider those to be better predictors of future success.
His (healthy) floor is an elite BP arm or 2-pitch #3/#4. His ceiling is what every pozzy Brave thinks it is.
Gohara is what we were told Newcomb was, but isn't.
Gohara is to Newcomb as Albies is to Swanson
I don't put much stock into results when I'm evaluating players moving forward, so I don't care about how many runs he gave up. I'm looking for indications of true talent because I consider those to be better predictors of future success.
His (healthy) floor is an elite BP arm or 2-pitch #3/#4. His ceiling is what every pozzy Brave thinks it is.
Gohara is what we were told Newcomb was, but isn't.
The difference being a useable change and possibly better command?
I enjoy the pitch data showing the movement of pitches. Let me ask, is there some good work on the relationship between movement and pitch effectiveness. At a gut level it makes sense.
you could argue, he should have shut the gNats out last night. a Competent LF and some veteran focus could have prevented both runs that did score. I am still excited about gohard just for the fact that his floor is so high. His biggest issue imo, is his injury track record and staying in shape.
Gohara's average FA velocity over his 4 starts:
09-13 - 97.2 MPH
09-06 - 97.0 MPH
09-19 - 95.9 MPH
09-24 - 94.6 MPH
A 2.6 MPH drop over 4 games is something that should make the FO take notice. It's hard to say how much of the decline is due to him no longer being amped up, fatigue from the long season, or something more serious. It may also be a sign that stamina will be an issue for Gohara.
For example, it took Newk 15 MLB starts to lose 2.6 MPH off his FA this year. It took Folty 26 starts this year to lose 2.6 MPH.
Gohara has now pitched 2x the innings he did last year. His velocity is declining rapidly. He should be shut down.
Yeah they shouldn't even consider giving him another start. This offseason I think it is imperative to get him into halfway decent shape. I think it will always be a problem for him, but outside of developing his changeup and command, conditioning will be one of the biggest factors determining whether or not he can reach his ceiling, which I think is ToR. But that is a really unlikely outcome if he can't retain his stuff better over an extended amount of time.
Right now, with no further improvements, Gohara is a LHed Archer (2-pitch 3 win SP)...if he builds the stamina to go 180+ innings.
Without the increased stamina he is a slightly lesser LHed Kimbrel (elite BP arm).
His increased workload this year is already well passed the typically allowed increase for a young pitcher. He needs to be shut down.
Why is there a rush for Gohara to get in shape. Is there any proven correlation between BMI and pitching performance?
Why is there a rush for Gohara to get in shape. Is there any proven correlation between BMI and pitching performance?
I so often disagree with thethe that I must highlight my agreement here. I'm not sure how making Gohara skinnier will make him better.
I so often disagree with thethe that I must highlight my agreement here. I'm not sure how making Gohara skinnier will make him better.
I think the argument is a little less weight might improve his stamina.