Arizona Fall League
- Thread starter CrimsonCowboy
- Start date
Bye Week
Arizona Fall Leaguer
Hot damn
50PoundHead
Hessmania Forever
I think you'd have to shave some off the SLG you've projected. I'm guessing something Gregor Blanco-like in that his SLG may be lower than his OBP. I'd guess his OPS would be anywhere between .675 and .725, but I have no way of quantifying my prediction.
zitothebrave
Connoisseur of Minors
I really think that Tommy offensively will wind up a lot like Dustin Pedroia. Good across the board but not really great. I don't get where people are coming up with the idea that he doesn't have too much power.
I think his first year would be an adjustment but I think he will be just fine offensively.
50PoundHead
Hessmania Forever
He has doubles power, but from his early career, I don't see him as a double-digit HR guy. Of course, that's why we wait to let them play.
zitothebrave
Connoisseur of Minors
That's not far from Pedroia who averages about 13 homers a full season.
zitothebrave
Connoisseur of Minors
You should care about homers, everything is a factor for a player. That said if all Tommy amounts to is Placido Polanco with more walks and less defense, I won't complain at all.
I know I'm about to go full thethe but I don't see Tommy being any worse than a good major league hitter. only question on him is defense. Which I think is blown out of proportion.
50PoundHead
Hessmania Forever
I really don't care if he hits HRs either, but he's probably not going to have an isoSLG above .125 if he doesn't.
I exported all statistical data from fangraphs and did the following filters:
HR's: >=5 & 330 (I believe LaStella will have that)
ABs: > 300
Only 13 players qualified for this filtering all year and 7 of them had over an isoSLG of .125
I think your number though is pretty spot on. But, if he had a slash of 280/340/400 I think we should be elated.
GovClintonTyree
<B>Vencer a Los Doyers</B>
Will he hit more than .179, you think?
KB21
Where's My Cup of Coffee?
Well, Matt Carpenter's triple slash at the minor league level was .297/.417/.461 with 13 home runs, 29 doubles, and 3 triples in 451 official at bats. His career minor league ISO was .167
Tommy La Stella's triple slash is currently .327/.411/.496 with 20 HR, 57 2B, and 13 3B in 847 official at bats. His career minor league ISO is .169.
Carpenter in his first full ML season posted .294/.365/.463 with 6 HR and 22 2B with an ISO of .169.
Carpenter is a little bigger than LaStella so i could see the power developing as he reaches his prime years but I agree in principal. For some odd reason LaStella is being looked over by our fanbase. He has destroyed minor league pitching thus far.
50PoundHead
Hessmania Forever
Easily.
I'm not trying to dis La Stella. I don't trust MLEs that much and I think a big difference between Carpenter and La Stella is their physical size. I think La Stella would have better contact numbers than Carpenter, but I don't think he could ever hit 50 2Bs in a season. We'll just have to see what happens.
nsacpi
Expects Yuge Games
Carpenter and La Stella both spent their age 24 seasons in AA. At age 25, Carpenter spent most of the year in AAA. We shouldn't underrate the difficulty of jumping from AA to the majors. The fact that some players do it does not mean that it is easy or that everyone can do it successfully. The Braves have jumped Heyward, Simmons and Gattis in recent years. Freeman spent almost a full year in AAA. Is it a coincidence that Freeman is our most mature, consistent hitter? Maybe. But I think in general it helps to have a player spend half a season to a season in AAA.
Fair point. I think I am just so sick of Uggla that I want some fresh blood at second base. I wouldn't mind LaStella being in AAA if we got someone like Infante.