bravesnumberone
Well-known member
Orioles are a game out in the WC. Unbelievable.
They are 6th in babip, but the braves are 8th
OK. They also have roughly 200 fewer strikeouts. If the Braves would do just a little more of that, there’d probably be some more chances for their luck on batted balls to even out.
The Mets, unlike years past, do not beat themselves. The Braves often do. We are 41-18 since the start of June, and I bet 12+ of those losses could have been avoided by the team playing smarter baseball.
41-18 is a .700 winning percentage. Are you seriously suggesting that they could play better than a 113 win pace if they simply “put the ball in play” more?
Jesus Christ, dude. The Braves are a great team. You don’t get to play at a historical pace simply by changing some things. The reason the Braves’ deficit is what it is is because the Braves played like ass for two months. That’s it. It’s not down to one little thing that they’re doing now, and it’s not supernatural.
It’s amazing that I have to explain just how well the Braves have been playing to somebody.
Dude it’s something going around on the board. It’s like every team we play we are trash and they are superior and we’re scared of everybody and if FF were here we’d be undefeated and all that crap. If feels like we’re being punked by Mets fans and Freeman himself.
Dude it’s something going around on the board. It’s like every team we play we are trash and they are superior and we’re scared of everybody and if FF were here we’d be undefeated and all that crap. If feels like we’re being punked by Mets fans and Freeman himself.
41-18 is a .700 winning percentage. Are you seriously suggesting that they could play better than a 113 win pace if they simply “put the ball in play” more?
Jesus Christ, dude. The Braves are a great team. You don’t get to play at a historical pace simply by changing some things. The reason the Braves’ deficit is what it is is because the Braves played like ass for two months. That’s it. It’s not down to one little thing that they’re doing now, and it’s not supernatural.
It’s amazing that I have to explain just how well the Braves have been playing to somebody.
It’s starting to sound like annoying Yankees fans in the middle of winning 95 games instead of 105.
This narrative that Freeman did anything other than take less money to play LA, which forced AA to move to the best Plan B he could find is a perfect example of delusional revisionist history.
I’m saying they are a very good, at times great team, and this stretch of 41-18 proves that. But they often do stupid **** to beat themselves, and it often happens when they are playing other good teams. They have wilted against the Dodgers and Mets.
It happens to every single team. At the end of the year, your record is usually what it should be, give or take a few games. That’s why they play so many.
For some reason Fangraphs was defaulting to 2021 for me. The real numbers are similar. The Mets are 17th in EV and the Braves are 3rd. Mets are 20th in hard hit %, Braves are second. The Braves have hit 55 more HRs than the Mets have. That's half again as many as the Mets have hit.
Yet the Mets have scored only two fewer runs than the Braves.
The K numbers don't come close to making up for all the weak contact. The Mets are extremely lucky this year.
Mets are 3rd in OBP though. Braves are 15th. BABIP is basically no difference between us and them. They are also top 3 in K% (meaning lowest K%) while we are bottom 3.
So the Mets get on base a lot more than we do and put the ball in play a lot more than we do. Both are pretty critical to scoring runs, as you need players on base and/or putting balls in play to score runs. And they are among the best in the league at doing both of those. That isn't luck.
And right now we're below the Dodgers and Mets. 6-11 against them and it could be 9-8 or so if we played up to our capability. Championships are the expectation here now, and head to head, we play far below that level. But maybe, hopefully, it'll all be different again come October.
The question is how are they getting on base like that with their weak contact numbers? That's where they're getting lucky. Lots of low EV hits.
The Mets power numbers are also terrible. The Braves are obliterating them in terms of HRs. So they're scoring by stringing hits together. That's heavily reliant on luck, especially for a team not hitting the ball hard.
41-18 is a .700 winning percentage. Are you seriously suggesting that they could play better than a 113 win pace if they simply “put the ball in play” more?
Jesus Christ, dude. The Braves are a great team. You don’t get to play at a historical pace simply by changing some things. The reason the Braves’ deficit is what it is is because the Braves played like ass for two months. That’s it. It’s not down to one little thing that they’re doing now, and it’s not supernatural.
It’s amazing that I have to explain just how well the Braves have been playing to somebody.
Mets are 8th in MLB in xWOBA. They are good, dude.The question is how are they getting on base like that with their weak contact numbers? That's where they're getting lucky. Lots of low EV hits.
The Mets power numbers are also terrible. The Braves are obliterating them in terms of HRs. So they're scoring by stringing hits together. That's heavily reliant on luck, especially for a team not hitting the ball hard.
Mets are 8th in MLB in xWOBA. They are good, dude.
Where do you see team xwOBA? Fangraphs has that column blank on team stats.