WaitingFor2017
Well-known member
An Article by MLB.com analyst Mike Petriello. If already posted, please delete.
http://m.braves.mlb.com/news/article/159300696
http://m.braves.mlb.com/news/article/159300696
Makes too much sense not to at this point.
That's kind of a strange article. I would always listen to any offer, so it's not out of the question that a deal could come along for Freeman that I would like.
But first, the Simmons and Miller deals really didn't move our window back. In fact, you could argue the Miller deal actually accelerated our window. There is a good chance all 3 of the guys in that deal are on the major league roster in 2017, and Newcomb and Ellis will likely be up at that point as well. Our window to truly compete was already 2018, not 2016 or 2017, at the time of those deals, so they don't change anything.
Second, if we are going to compete in 2018, Freeman is a big part of that. If we could get pieces that can be contributing by then in return (say, AJ Reed), then sure. But Devers or Moncada? That would actually move our window back even further.
You can't say, 'They won't compete until at least 2018, so you should trade Freeman,' because suddenly, you wouldn't likely be competing even by 2018 at that point. I think the Miller deal was a clear sign that we're pretty much done dumping good current assets for extremely long-term ones.
I agree with the puzzlement, although my best guess as to what he meant is that it's hard to assume that we have a rotation worthy of a contender within 2 years without counting on Shelby Miller.
I'm super-stoked about the youngsters, but I think that we fans have been somewhat spoiled by watching the few guys who jump into MLB and dominate immediately. Really, those guys are the exception rather than the rule. Just because we see guys in 2017 or '18 doesn't mean they'll be ready to contribute to a playoff-caliber club at that time.
FWIW, I imagine Devers and Moncada will probably be in the bigs by 2018, Moncada probably before that. Those guys are certainly no further behind in development than Albies, and I imagine you'd put him on that timetable, right?
Not sure i'd deal him, you need some stable players.
KC kept Gordon through their struggles. And it paid off.
Team isnt 5-6 years away.
Agreed. Again, though, it all just depends on what a team will give you. We're in a good spot in that everyone knows we're open to anything, so teams will continue to reach out to us if they want something.
This is a good point. But I don't necessarily think guys like Albies or Swanson will be really good major league players by 2018; I just think they can be at least solid contributors. And when you have at least one guy like Freeman already there, adding solid contributors all around him suddenly makes you a potentially good team.
Replacing Freeman with another young guy who may be solid by then (Devers/Moncada) still, I think, moves your window back a little further.
Who could pay a king's ransom for Freddie that needs a 1B (or, ostensibly, a DH)? You would think the Braves might command -- at bare minimum -- major league ready pieces and top prospects (like Top 5 caliber).
My following response HAS been posted before, and it's really the last word on this if you are being rational: There is no way the Braves can get anywhere near proper value for Freeman because he is seen as a risk, both with his chronic wrist problems and his ongoing eye problems. There are too many other fish in this pond for him to ever draw premium value.
Makes too much sense not to at this point.
I don't think anyone would give us good major league-ready pieces and an elite prospect. I don't even think we could get one truly elite prospect for him from anyone other than the Diamondbacks. I do think we could get 2-3 good pieces, though. But I'm not sure anyone is a good trade partner right now. The Astros are better off just letting AJ Reed come up and play 1B.
That's kind of a strange article. I would always listen to any offer, so it's not out of the question that a deal could come along for Freeman that I would like.
But first, the Simmons and Miller deals really didn't move our window back. In fact, you could argue the Miller deal actually accelerated our window. There is a good chance all 3 of the guys in that deal are on the major league roster in 2017, and Newcomb and Ellis will likely be up at that point as well. Our window to truly compete was already 2018, not 2016 or 2017, at the time of those deals, so they don't change anything.
Second, if we are going to compete in 2018, Freeman is a big part of that. If we could get pieces that can be contributing by then in return (say, AJ Reed), then sure. But Devers or Moncada? That would actually move our window back even further.
You can't say, 'They won't compete until at least 2018, so you should trade Freeman,' because suddenly, you wouldn't likely be competing even by 2018 at that point. I think the Miller deal was a clear sign that we're pretty much done dumping good current assets for extremely long-term ones.