BABIP Gods Smile on Braves

Southcack77 said:
Braves actually finished at .305 last year. .317 would have lead the non-Rockies MLB last year, but there is usually 2-5 teams in the .31x range.

For what it is worth (prolly not much) the Braves regulars with 100 PA that had BABIP under .305 last season were:

Matt Adams .294
Dansby .292
J. Peterson .279
Suzuki .268
A. Garcia .247
D. Santana .243
R. Ruiz .231

This year the guys who are dragging the average in the SSS are:

Markakis .304
Albies .298
Suzuki .262
Lane Adams .298
C. Steward .214
C. Perez .200
Culberson .188
Bourjous .167

.......

Nothing necessarily to draw from that except Suzuki is pretty consistent and the Braves better players seem to either have BABIP skill or continuing good fortune.
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I fully expect Albies to be up in the .320 range when he stops hitting so many FBs.

The rest of the low BABIP guys won’t see many more PAs.

All the high BABIP will likely regress, quite a bit in some cases.
 
Slightly off topic, but while we've had good luck with Babip, it seems we've had tough luck in pitching matchups. What I mean is were having to face every teams aces and not missing them. Nola 3 times, Scherzer twice, Syndegaard and DeGrom in this coming series which will make twice. Strasburg we missed once. Mets on the other hand have already missed Scherzer twice.
 
Who besides Swanson will see their BABIP dip significantly?
Freddie's will probably dip, but how much? He tends to carry a higher one.
 
Southcack77 said:
Braves actually finished at .305 last year. .317 would have lead the non-Rockies MLB last year, but there is usually 2-5 teams in the .31x range.

For what it is worth (prolly not much) the Braves regulars with 100 PA that had BABIP under .305 last season were:

Matt Adams .294
Dansby .292
J. Peterson .279
Suzuki .268
A. Garcia .247
D. Santana .243
R. Ruiz .231

This year the guys who are dragging the average in the SSS are:

Markakis .304
Albies .298
Suzuki .262
Lane Adams .298
C. Steward .214
C. Perez .200
Culberson .188
Bourjous .167

.......

Nothing necessarily to draw from that except Suzuki is pretty consistent and the Braves better players seem to either have BABIP skill or continuing good fortune.
Click to expand...

Speaking of Adonis Garcia, he now plays for the Twins. The LG Twins of the Korean Baseball Organization that is. Don't know what his BABIP is, but he's hitting .356 with a .932 OPS. But don't get too excited. Hyun Soo Kim is the team's stud and he absolutely fell on his face in two MLB stops (Orioles, Phillies) last season. He's cruising along with a Freddie Freeman-ish 1.042 OPS.
 
Super said:
true. i guess i was looking at guys i expect to be full timers moving forward. camargo/flaherty certainly fit.
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Whoever plays third full-time going forward is going to have a lower BABIP than Flaherty had in April (.397)
 
the phillies have a group of huge BABIP overperformers in Hoskins, Herrera, Hernandez, Alfaro. But also a lot of players dragging their number down in Santana (really bad), Crawford, Altherr. Still not overly impressed with them as a team. Maybe i'll be proven wrong.
 
nick williams had a .257 BABIP but always carried a really high one in the minors. how likely is he to carry that over to the majors and end up a good bit above .300?
 
Nerfherders said:
You can even calculate it yourself if you know the player's hits, ab's, hr's and k's.
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It's a little more complicated than that. You also need to know how many times they fouled out, and hit sac flies/bunts.

I would just look it up. It's available as the first stat page for every player at both FG and BRef.
 
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