As bad as our offense has been, we are winning at a 98 win pace…. Just sucks the Phillies are winning at a 117 win pace
Right, Phillies are playing out of their asses right now. Even with that, their barely ahead of us in SRS, meaning they've not confidently beaten their opponents that much better than the Braves when factoring in Strength of schedule.
Phillies are massively outperforming expectations. Current batter wRC+ vs. career for "qualified" hitters
Bohm - 157 vs. 105. BABIP way up. His exit velo is up.
Harper - 158 vs. 142 - Within the realm of deviation. But still better than expected
Stott - 135 vs 100
Realmuto 119 vs 111
Marsh 114 vs 104
Schwarber 113 vs 120
Castellanos 64 vs 110
So basically you have 1 guy way under performing expectations , 2 guys way over performing expectations. And basically everyone who's around their norms are still overachieving.
Trea Turner is also over performing but has missed games.
Pitching is where it's stupid ERA- vs. career average (lower is better)
Nola 75 vs 87
Wheeler 62 vs 85
Sanchez 81 vs 94
Suarez 34 vs 74
But to put it even simpler, Phillies starters except wheeler are all significantly better than their xERA.
Phillies are just playing out of their minds now. And they'll stop at some point.