David Carpenter

nsacpi

nsacpi

Expects Yuge Games
Mr. Carpenter has been a pleasant surprise this year. His strikeout rate is over 10 per nine innings, a career high. Walks are still a little high at 3.29 per nine, but that is an improvement over previous years. Roger McDowell undoubtedly deserves a fair amount of the credit.

As we've seen the past two days, Carpenter has gained Fredi's confidence and is being used in more high leverage situations. I don't mind that, but I think the events of the past two games illustrate some subtleties worth keeping in mind.

First, Carpenter was lights out two days ago in striking out the side. But yesterday, he gave up some ropes, one of which almost left the ballpark. Obvious lesson, like most other pitchers his arm is more lively with rest than pitching on consecutive days. It is worth watching in his case to see if the falloff is more pronounced than other relievers.

Second, Carpenter is a flyball pitcher. I would be much more comfortable using him in a high leverage situation in a big park. In the smaller parks, I think Ayala who is more of groundball pitcher would be preferable.

The third point is that you do want to pay attention to platoon splits. Fredi actually did a good job on that yesterday. Philly had a righty dominated lineup (unusual for them) and Fredi used up Ayala (who pitched to two righties and a switch hitter) and Carpenter (who pitched to three righties and one lefty) before going to Downs and Avilan. It is going to be important that Fredi plays those splits right in close games. All four of Carpenter, Ayala, Downs and Avilan have significant conventional splits. Walden does not, but given that he is pretty much the automatic choice for the eight inning, it really doesn't matter.
 
I may be wrong but Carpenter was used in more single lengthy outing earlier in the year. I think its going to take him time to adjust going on consecutive days and not really a result of him not being able to do it.

I said in May that I thought he could be a legitimate bullpen arm. He can really locate a mid 90's fastball and that has a lot of value. His slider is an average to slightly above average pitch as well and plays off his fastball nicely.
 
thethe said:
I may be wrong but Carpenter was used in more single lengthy outing earlier in the year. I think its going to take him time to adjust going on consecutive days and not really a result of him not being able to do it.

I said in May that I thought he could be a legitimate bullpen arm. He can really locate a mid 90's fastball and that has a lot of value. His slider is an average to slightly above average pitch as well and plays off his fastball nicely.
Click to expand...

On the other site, I did a little post on using bullpen pitchers for 2 innings rather than 1 as a prophylactic measure against all these Tommy Johns - for instance, in his Cy year, Sparky Lyle pitched 137 innings, but only 72 appearances. I think the process of heating up is almost as stressful on the arm as pitching an inning, certainly moreso than warming up less and going two. I'd do it for everybody in the pen; I might even suggest that teams alternate two guys as closers (although the Yankees back then couldn't/wouldn't do it with Goose and Sparky). So maybe it's everybody but the closer.

But the one thing that's different from a generation ago is the use pattern. I'd like to see somebody go old school with their bullpen and see if it helps.
 
GovClintonTyree said:
On the other site, I did a little post on using bullpen pitchers for 2 innings rather than 1 as a prophylactic measure against all these Tommy Johns - for instance, in his Cy year, Sparky Lyle pitched 137 innings, but only 72 appearances. I think the process of heating up is almost as stressful on the arm as pitching an inning, certainly moreso than warming up less and going two. I'd do it for everybody in the pen; I might even suggest that teams alternate two guys as closers (although the Yankees back then couldn't/wouldn't do it with Goose and Sparky). So maybe it's everybody but the closer.

But the one thing that's different from a generation ago is the use pattern. I'd like to see somebody go old school with their bullpen and see if it helps.
Click to expand...

Nowadays managers put more emphasis on getting the platoon matchup in their favor. If you had a couple relievers without big conventional platoon splits, you could use them more in multiple inning outings. Cristhian Martinez was that way. Walden could be used that way too, but he is pretty much our 8th inning guy. It isn't a bad idea to hunt around for relievers who have this quality. Btw the kid we traded for Downs, Rasmus, is a righty who is effective against lefties thanks to his changeup. He wasn't quite ready for the majors this year, but I think he'll turn out to be a good pickup for the Angels.
 
Carpenter just re-enforces my feeling that we should never spend big money on a reliever. 5 million max per season. But most should be under team control. I have 100% confidence in the Braves that they can develop middle relievers from the system and from the scrap heap of other organizations. Done it too many times.

I like the multiple inning model. I think it would work. I was thinking you could do it with guys like Wood and Graham. But I don't think ATL is the type of organization that would take that leap. It would have to be someone else to prove it works. Plus we are now looking at Wood as a SP and we still say Graham is a SP.
 
I am not sold on him yet.

For someone that throws that hard, I don't see the control that should be there. He lets it loose but a lot of times he doens't know where it's going. I know his K rate is good, but at times I feel he doesn't put hittesr away.

Perhaps I'm spoiled that our bullpen the last 3 years has been unbelievably amazing.
 
TonyStark said:
I am not sold on him yet.

For someone that throws that hard, I don't see the control that should be there. He lets it loose but a lot of times he doens't know where it's going. I know his K rate is good, but at times I feel he doesn't put hittesr away.

Perhaps I'm spoiled that our bullpen the last 3 years has been unbelievably amazing.
Click to expand...

He's no Chad Paronto is he?
 
That would be Chadwick Paronto. A man his size should be called his full first name.
 
CyYoung31 said:
He's no Chad Paronto is he?
Click to expand...

You know how much fun I had with gilesfan in the Paronto vs. Yates debate in 2006? Because Chad's ERA was low because he was giving up a lot of inherited runners since Bobby chose him to be Gryboski's successor. 2007 Yates started off amazingly dominant, then regressed towards the end of the year as Bobby continued to abuse his arm.

Paronto never had the strong sinker Grybo had, the only thing he had in common was he was bald and fat. One of those instances where my eyes tells me more than statistics when watching Paronto pitch.
 
TonyStark said:
I am not sold on him yet.

For someone that throws that hard, I don't see the control that should be there. He lets it loose but a lot of times he doens't know where it's going. I know his K rate is good, but at times I feel he doesn't put hittesr away.

Perhaps I'm spoiled that our bullpen the last 3 years has been unbelievably amazing.
Click to expand...

I just hope our scouts continue to pull rabbits out of hats. Or Roger keeps coaching 'em up.

Depth of our bullpens has been remarkable. Who else could lose a Venters and EOF and still be at the top?
 
GovClintonTyree said:
I just hope our scouts continue to pull rabbits out of hats. Or Roger keeps coaching 'em up.

Depth of our bullpens has been remarkable. Who else could lose a Venters and EOF and still be at the top?
Click to expand...

We also lost Martinez early on and Fredi turned Gearrin's arm into sawdust.

I'm impressed we didn't bring back Scott Proctor.
 
nsacpi said:
We also lost Martinez early on and Fredi turned Gearrin's arm into sawdust.

I'm impressed we didn't bring back Scott Proctor.
Click to expand...

Proctor must've been Bobby's dream reliever.

Could pitch 3 innings in long relief then pitch 1 the next day.
 
GovClintonTyree said:
I just hope our scouts continue to pull rabbits out of hats. Or Roger keeps coaching 'em up.

Depth of our bullpens has been remarkable. Who else could lose a Venters and EOF and still be at the top?
Click to expand...

Better than those days when we were trying to find a bridge to Kolb or Farnsworth. Experimented with Jim Brower, Boyer, McBride. Retisma.
 
Don't forget Livan and the Durbinator. Only through the grace of the BABIP gods did the Durbinator thing turn out ok.
 
I really liked Cormier. I thought he was going to end up being a solid back end of the rotation guy.
 
You guys make me feel old. I can barely remember who's on this years squad, much less even debate dudes like Chad Poranto, who I had forgotten existed.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top