Early voting.

Trump has been losing ground with non-college White voters ever since 2016. And since it's the biggest voting demographic, that means a lot of votes for him have gone to the other side. He has made gains in Black men and Hispanics, much smaller and less significant demographics. And the demographics least likely to vote in the first place.

His escalating crazy behavior shows that he knows he's in trouble. Now he's campaigning in Florida??? Is Florida in play???

If Florida and Texas are getting closer, that's not a good sign for him.
 
Why is Trump campaigning in Florida? Despite Trumps attacks he looks at polls as much as anyone. I dont expect Florida to be all that close but with abortion and legalized marijuana on the ballot that could raise the tide for Democrats in the state. 15 dollar an hour minimum wage passed with flying colors in 2020 and Trump still won the state so I dont know.
 
cajunrevenge said:
So why is he campaigning there in late October?
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To be fair, campaigns typically still go to both safe and unwinnable states *sometimes* throughout an election. Not every day has to be a swing state rally.

Also, this is when 78-year-olds with a home in Florida tend to migrate down there, so have some compassion for the elderly Cajun.
 
Well there was that time period where he announced he was running then sat around for a couple months. Valid points though
 
One thing I’ll be curious to see is how the early voting vs. total vote partisan breakdown shifts this election. There’s a lot of hay being made about voter registration during early voting, and while it’s obviously impactful when your party is turning in more ballots, I do wonder if the shift from the right toward driving early voting will dampen the expected result of Republican wins here.
 
Can we all agree all that Jim Crow laws were total bull**** virtue signaling? I think we can safely admit that now right libbys?
 
Tapate50 said:
Can we all agree all that Jim Crow laws were total bull**** virtue signaling? I think we can safely admit that now right libbys?
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Eh, probably. I’m not paying any attention to what voting conditions look like nationally, so I’m not going to pretend to have any insight though. I think we should all also be able to agree that there hasn’t been widespread voter fraud to magically fix this year through those same laws.
 
mqt said:
Eh, probably. I’m not paying any attention to what voting conditions look like nationally, so I’m not going to pretend to have any insight though. I think we should all also be able to agree that there hasn’t been widespread voter fraud to magically fix this year through those same laws.
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We know that already? Crazy.

I think if the numbers are far enough off from 2020 we all know what happened.
 
NBC Early Voting graphs

Massachusetts sure has a lot of Independent early voters.

The big question for me is how many Republican voters have switched their vote to Harris. Each vote switched is a double whammy for the tax-dodging, serial groping, Putln-loving TRAITOR--- one less for him and one more for her.
 
9.5 million votes have been cast in the 7 swing states. 952k more women have voted than men. 55.1% women to 44.9% men. Gender gap in voting is 14% in MI, 13% in PA, 12% in GA, 10% in WI, 9% in NC, and 4% in AZ and -2% in NV. Good news for the good guys imo. I am curious what percent of Republican women will cross parties because of abortion being an issue for the first time in a long time. Trump is a poll junkie, you can see by what he says what the polls are telling him. Thats why he backtracked on abortion so much, but anyone without their head up their ass knows thats just an act until he wins. People can cite polls all day long but turnout is what will win and polls are guessing at what the turnout will be. I feel good about MI, PA, WI, and GA right now. Cautiously optimistic about NC with Republicans running a self described black Nazi for Governor. NV looks gone gone. AZ doesnt look good either. So thats 2 states Trump probably flips right there.
 
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