Economics Thread

[Jaw]

I simply don’t accept that we get to decide unilaterally that we have the right to fight this particular cancer abroad in direct violation of international law just because we can.

I do t disagree. I also can’t think of the last president who didn’t do as bad or worse. Maybe it was Jimmy. It certainly hasn’t been anyone since.

 

[thethe]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1984291913001062456

Prices are increasing and people are losing their jobs. Just blame tariffs and so many just nod their heads in agreement.

 

[sturg33]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1984291913001062456

Prices are increasing and people are losing their jobs. Just blame tariffs and so many just nod their heads in agreement.

I think if you polled informed people a year if inflation being at 3% in October 2025, they would say that was a very bad outcome

 

[chop2chip]

I think if you polled informed people a year if inflation being at 3% in October 2025, they would say that was a very bad outcome

I’m a big FIRE guy and inflation 3% basically wrecks a lot of preconceived notions of what you need to be financially free.

Money printer jacking stock prices through the roof helps though

 

[sturg33]

I’m a big FIRE guy and inflation 3% basically wrecks a lot of preconceived notions of what you need to be financially free.

Money printer jacking stock prices through the roof helps though

I'm in way more cash than I want to be.

I'm so conflicted. Feels like we're in a bubble... waiting for the 20% whoosh. But just not sure its ever gonna happen because the fed won't let it?

(these are convos my wife's group isn't having btw)

 

[Tapate50]

is this the soft landing Biden promised on transitory inflation????

I’d give it another 6 months before I’d expect any easing.

Gas and eggs down so you can more affordably go get eggs to make breakfast!

 

[thethe]

is this the soft landing Biden promised on transitory inflation????

I’d give it another 6 months before I’d expect any easing.

Gas and eggs down so you can more affordably go get eggs to make breakfast!

Americans are going to start realizing they have more discretionary spend than they’ve had in 5 years shortly.

 

[chop2chip]

I'm in way more cash than I want to be.

I'm so conflicted. Feels like we're in a bubble... waiting for the 20% whoosh. But just not sure its ever gonna happen because the fed won't let it?

(these are convos my wife's group isn't having btw)

Never been a more important time to diversify. I’d love to have a drink with the guy who thinks he’d know how to time this market.

 

[chop2chip]

Americans are going to start realizing they have more discretionary spend than they’ve had in 5 years shortly.

Well it has to be true before they can start realizing

Date​	Personal Saving Rate (%)​
Jan 2021	~13.0 %
Jul 2021	~11.0 %
Jan 2022	~7.0 %
Jul 2022	~4.6 %
Jan 2023	~4.2 %
Jul 2023	~5.0 %
Jan 2024	~6.10 %
Jul 2024	~5.30 %
Jan 2025	~5.10 %
May 2025	~5.20 %
Jun 2025	~5.00 %
Jul 2025	4.80 %
Aug 2025	4.60 %

 

[thethe]

Well it has to be true before they can start realizing

Date​	Personal Saving Rate (%)​
Jan 2021	~13.0 %
Jul 2021	~11.0 %
Jan 2022	~7.0 %
Jul 2022	~4.6 %
Jan 2023	~4.2 %
Jul 2023	~5.0 %
Jan 2024	~6.10 %
Jul 2024	~5.30 %
Jan 2025	~5.10 %
May 2025	~5.20 %
Jun 2025	~5.00 %
Jul 2025	4.80 %
Aug 2025	4.60 %

Outlier spike that isn't going to repeat but point taken.