I feel FG's base is a lot smarter than we used to be and that leads to not as many articles aimed to educate as there once was. Also doesn't help that a couple of writers have left after the end of the season with atleast one of them going to work for the Padres I believe.
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Fangraphs Top 100 Prospects
- Thread starter CJ9
- Start date
I feel FG's base is a lot smarter than we used to be and that leads to not as many articles aimed to educate as there once was. Also doesn't help that a couple of writers have left after the end of the season with atleast one of them going to work for the Padres I believe.
Managuarantano's Volunteers
<B><I>The Artist Formally Known as <P>Ventura's St
I feel FG's base is a lot smarter than we used to be and that leads to not as many articles aimed to educate as there once was. Also doesn't help that a couple of writers have left after the end of the season with atleast one of them going to work for the Padres I believe.
There’s probably a lack of really intelligent baseball analysts that aren’t already working in baseball and are decent writers
He doesn't necessarily need to hit better than he did in A-ball. I mean, he does, in the sense that skill that produces his line in A-ball needs to be improved upon. But if he can maintain roughly league-average offense, or even somewhat below, as he progresses, he'll be just fine given his other tools. The fact that he produced that at 18 is a good sign.
No one in their analysis produced their respective offensive line at 18. They were all older, most of them much older. It's clearly not very useful at all as a comparison group.
Looks like Ivan waited until Part 3 to bring age into the fold. He really dragged this thing out:
https://www.talkingchop.com/2018/2/...es-minor-leagues-prospects-regression-results
The jist:
1. Players who accumulate 200+ PAs at Low-A have a 73.6% chance of making the majors. Excellent news!
2. The Top 1% most similar players (28 in total) to Pache when also taking age into account only had 10 (35.7%) make the majors.
3. The best players in that group of 28 similar players guys like Andrus (4.1 peak fWAR), Austin Jackson (5.4) and Inciarte (3.6).
That is a far cry from saying Pache's floor is Kevin Pillar (4.3 peak fWAR).
Pache's floor is probably Tyler Pastornicky, and his ceiling is probably Elvis Andrus. His 50th percentile is probably something like a 1-2 win 4th OFer.
That is certainly a valuable prospect, but I have a hard time pegging that guy as #37 overall.