ok... ok... after reading through 57 pages of "suffering" I've finally reached the end and can now add my humble thoughts to the thread.
1. Hart didn't suddenly become stupid or a bad GM
- After almost a year of winning most of the deals he's done, he didn't wake up one morning and forget everything he knows about baseball or decide to flush all the progress down the toilet on a whim. Doesn't mean this deal will work out in our favor or not, but in my eyes the guy has built up some trust. This means that he's really high on Olivera, I'm willing to let that play out and see what he does before I blast the deal. Hart isn't making this move if he thinks Olivera is breaking down in a year or two, he think this is a potential impact major-league ready bat for the next 5 years at a controllable price. That's pretty much exactly what we need. Again the bust potential is pretty high here -- we all get that, but there are PLENTY of hitters that don't fall off a cliff at ages 31-35.
2. Hart and company don't love Wood and Peraza
- Again, its clear Hart isn't as high on Wood and Peraza as other may be. Now, this doesn't mean they don't have value or aren't commodities - but it does mean that somewhere in the back of Hart's mind he's thinking the rest of the league is going to start seeing in these two what he sees; and he'd rather deal them while they still have a lot of value. In dealing Wood he's moving a very good, controllable starting pitcher after picking up Wisler, Folty, ManBan, Tyrell and many others during the off-season - this is why he picked up all these pitchers. With Peraza, not only is he blocked, but scouts have become increasingly wary of a kid that doesn't hit for much power or walk much at the AAA level.
3. There are other pieces involved
- A top-30 pick is a valuable commodity and the pitching prospect seems to have added velo this year and has some intrigue - I know its the society we live in -- but we don't have to judge everything RIGHT NOW, on paper I don't think the Braves got enough, I don't love this deal, but I'm willing to let it play out. Maybe Bird uses the velocity he's added and becomes a pretty good spec.
So while I don't love the return on this deal and I question the need to trade Wood and Peraza right now; I also have quite a bit of faith in Hart -- the guy is a very good GM. He's not going to win every trade, but he's not doing this willy-nilly. He obviously believes Olivera is an impact bat that we now have under control for 5 years. If that happens, and he stays healthy -- then I've got ZERO issue with this deal.