Folty

Wasn’t trying to shoot you, specifically, down—and I don’t disagree that Newcomb warrants patience, as well. I was just merely pointing out that your thoughtful comparison of indices was not where that early-season argument went. Instead it went: “Damn the indicators, Folty is just lucky-wild and Newcomb KnowsHowToPitch.”

I realized I was wrong. It's cool
 
HR/FB rate dropped from 11.8% last year to 9.6% this year. That's mostly luck. Like BABIP.

Ground ball percentage rose to 43.1% from 39.4% last year. That's less of a luck thing. More of a not hanging as many sliders thing.

Strikeout rate rose to 9.9 per nine innings from 8.3 last year. That's a making pitch kinda thing.

Walk rate dropped slightly to 3.3 from 3.5. Second half walk rate was even better at 2.9 per nine innings.

Fastball velo rose to 96.4 mph from 95.3 last year. Guy's a freak. Slider velo also up.

Slider usage was up to 27.1% from 21.2%. It's his best pitch and has dramatically improved over the last couple years.

Folty could be even better next year if he can keep the walk rate under 3 per nine.
 
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