Free Agents: Where They Going?

[CrimsonCowboy]

Kind of a traditional post of mine when the World Series is over. Where are these guys going for next season?

Dansby Swanson:
Trea Turner:
Carlos Correa:
Xander Bogaerts (assuming he opts out):
Jacob deGrom (assuming he opts out):
Aaron Judge:
Joc Pederson:
Andrew Benintendi:
Carlos Rodon (assuming he opts out):
Edwin Diaz:
Kenley Jansen:
Craig Kimbrel:

 

[Hudson2]

Dansby Swanson: Dodgers
Trea Turner: Braves
Carlos Correa: Yankees
Xander Bogaerts (assuming he opts out): Cubs
Jacob deGrom (assuming he opts out): Mets
Aaron Judge: SF
Joc Pederson: SF
Andrew Benintendi: NYY
Carlos Rodon (assuming he opts out): Dodgers
Edwin Diaz: Mets
Kenley Jansen: Dodgers
Craig Kimbrel: Phillies

 

[The Tariff King]

Dansby Swanson: Dodgers
Trea Turner: Braves
Carlos Correa: Yankees
Xander Bogaerts (assuming he opts out): Cubs
Jacob deGrom (assuming he opts out): Mets
Aaron Judge: SF
Joc Pederson: SF
Andrew Benintendi: NYY
Carlos Rodon (assuming he opts out): Dodgers
Edwin Diaz: Mets
Kenley Jansen: Dodgers
Craig Kimbrel: Phillies

No way Dansby goes to the Dodgers.

He is so anti-California and taxes.

 

[Heyward]

Dansby Swanson: Braves
Trea Turner: Phillies
Carlos Correa: Giants
Xander Bogaerts (assuming he opts out): Mariners
Jacob deGrom (assuming he opts out): Rangers
Aaron Judge: NYY
Joc Pederson: SF
Andrew Benintendi: NYY
Carlos Rodon (assuming he opts out): Giants
Edwin Diaz: NYM
Kenley Jansen: Tampa
Craig Kimbrel: NYM

 

[msstate7]

No way Dansby goes to the Dodgers.

He is so anti-California and taxes.

He is pro-FF, and I'm sure he likes to win

 

[msstate7]

I predict none of those are braves

 

[bravesnumberone]

Dansby Swanson: Braves
Trea Turner: Mets
Carlos Correa: Yankees
Xander Bogaerts (assuming he opts out): Mariners
Jacob deGrom (assuming he opts out): Mets
Aaron Judge: Dodgers
Joc Pederson: Giants
Andrew Benintendi: Mets
Carlos Rodon (assuming he opts out): Dodgers
Edwin Diaz: Dodgers
Kenley Jansen: Mets
Craig Kimbrel: Braves

 

[Heyward]

I predict none of those are braves

Swanson is probably best chance on here. The homer in me said we'd get Turner but i have doubts AA going to what it'll take to land him.

 

[bravesfanforlife88]

I said this in another thread. AA has a policy that prohibits opt out clauses and no trade clauses. So does he break that trend on Turner or Correa? Doubtful imo

 

[Heyward]

I said this in another thread. AA has a policy that prohibits opt out clauses and no trade clauses. So does he break that trend on Turner or Correa? Doubtful imo

I dont think either Correa or Turner will get an opt out clause. They'll want the biggest contract.

 

[Hudson2]

These guys want the money but they wanna win also. I think the Cubs will go hard after some of these guys but will strike out bc they wanna win too. Teams like the Mariners and Giants are gonna spend so a lot of these guys will go off the board early.

 

[bravesnumberone]

I didn't pick them for any of these guys, but I think the Rangers could land a couple. I expect them to try to spend big.

 

[Chico]

Dansby Swanson: Braves
Trea Turner: Cubs
Carlos Correa: Yankees
Xander Bogaerts Mariners
Jacob deGrom: Dodgers
Aaron Judge: Giants
Joc Pederson: Giants
Andrew Benintendi: Yankees
Carlos Rodon (assuming he opts out): Orioles
Edwin Diaz: Mets
Kenley Jansen: Dodgers
Craig Kimbrel: White Sox

 

[jpx7]

Dansby Swanson: Mariners
Trea Turner: Braves
Carlos Correa: Dodgers
Xander Bogaerts (assuming he opts out): Cubs
Jacob deGrom (assuming he opts out): NYM
Aaron Judge: NYY
Joc Pederson: SF
Andrew Benintendi: NYY
Carlos Rodon (assuming he opts out): Rangers
Edwin Diaz: NYM
Kenley Jansen: Tampa
Craig Kimbrel: Toronto

This would be such a Cubs move.

 

[jpx7]

Ideal, not-going-to-happen scenario:

-- Unload Ozuna and Rosario for overpriced reliever(s), or overpriced starter(s) who can become more effective as reliever(s).
-- Re-sign Swanson to a reasonable deal (five years, higher AAV; or seven years, lower AAV)
-- Sign Turner to a similar, if larger deal, to play LF, plus sub at 2B/SS/CF when necessary—including potentially sliding over to CF against tough LHP.
-- Sign deGrom to a two-year, high AAV deal.

 

[Carp]

Bae: Baltimore
Turner: LAD
Correa: NYY
Bogaerts (assuming he opts out): Mariners
Jacob deGrom (assuming he opts out): Mets
Aaron Judge: San Fran
Joc Pederson: Milwaukee
Andrew Benintendi: NYY
Carlos Rodon (assuming he opts out): Dodgers
Edwin Diaz: Mets (already done obviously)
Kenley Jansen: Cards
Craig Kimbrel: Orioles

 

[50PoundHead]

He is pro-FF, and I'm sure he likes to win

I think that's an angle to consider. LA might not be Swanson's preferred destination, but big bucks, the chance to win, and a good buddy in the clubhouse wouldn't make the situation untenable. Tax rates (and the value of the Canadian dollar for guys considering the Blue Jays) can play into the decision, but for the top-tier guys, they make so much money I think the chance to play for a winner and be in a situation that is comfortable for your family are likely higher priorities.

 

[Tapate50]

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2023-top-50-free-agents/

 

[50PoundHead]

Interesting to see the differences between Fangraphs and Law. Law had Swanson at #4 overall and ahead of Bogaerts. Flipped here. I still don't see a clear-cut solution to our LF problems on the list. Lots of moving parts even with Diaz removing himself from the board. I just hope the Braves don't confuse Zach Elfin with Robbie Erlin.

The thing that struck me is how many second- and third-tier starting pitchers are on the list and most may have to settle for shorter-term deals.

 

[50PoundHead]

Here's mlb.com's take on available FAs. They only go to 20 with a ton of honorable mentions.

Link: https://www.mlb.com/news/top-mlb-fr...bQZfh8Oa85BrtHBmKstu2h6+E&bt_ts=1667830891912