GDT: 11/3/20, Election Day, Donald J. Trump vs. Joseph R. Biden

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Berrien co (Michigan) has 4% reported according to Fox News and AP, but the vote total is already at 2016 level. Is this just a mistake?
 
Krgrecw said:
I have to give the the props (We all do). He was the only one a month ago giving Trump a chance to win it. Biden will win, but trump far exceeded anyone else’s expectations on how the vote would go.
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He predicted a Trump landslide and Trump won’t even win. He gets no credit he was just towing the party line
 
Tapate50 said:
Those predicting blue\red waves were ...um.....so so wrong.
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i'll be happy to eat some purple crow if current trends hold up

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don't tell the SPCA
 
cajunrevenge said:
I am feeling pretty good about my election projection minus Texas.
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Yeah. You had a good call. And Texas was not crazy.

What's amazing is how little change there has been from 2016 to 2020 in terms of who the battle ground states are.

The 8 close ones this year: AZ, WS, MI, PA, NV, GA, NC, FL

AZ moved left, FL moved right. Likely to be very similar next time out.

Looking at the list, I'm wondering if Mark Kelly might be someone's veep selection in 2020. Depending on who the Dems nominate, a bald white 60-year old ex astronaut and fighter pilot might work. Gretchen Whitmer might get some consideration too.
 
This race is soooooo close right now. Both candidates have paths to victory.

As I see it, the most likely path to victory for Trump is to hold on to his leads in GA, NC, PA, and AK and then to take the lead in NV. That would put him at 273. That's a very possible outcome.

For Biden, if he holds on to Wi, MI, and NV, he's at 270. But I really don't know if he holds on to NV. His lead is less than 8K votes with a third of the vote left to count. I think odds are Biden holds onto WI and MI. So his best path to victory is to hold onto NV or else flip one of GA, NC, or PA. This result is also very possible.

I honestly didn't think we'd be focusing on states like Nevada and Alaska today.
 
striker42 said:
This race is soooooo close right now. Both candidates have paths to victory.

As I see it, the most likely path to victory for Trump is to hold on to his leads in GA, NC, PA, and AK and then to take the lead in NV. That would put him at 273. That's a very possible outcome.

For Biden, if he holds on to Wi, MI, and NV, he's at 270. But I really don't know if he holds on to NV. His lead is less than 8K votes with a third of the vote left to count. I think odds are Biden holds onto WI and MI. So his best path to victory is to hold onto NV or else flip one of GA, NC, or PA. This result is also very possible.

I honestly didn't think we'd be focusing on states like Nevada and Alaska today.
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I believe that in Nevada, they're waiting on election day postmarked ballots and late arriving ballots for Vegas and Reno, which would be advantage Biden.

All the same day votes have basically been counted.
 
I'm still cautiously optimistic, but we can see why now why Trump has tried for months to wreck the post office with DeJoy and slow down mail.

If Biden wins, absentee/mail ballots will be why.
 
I’m no Republican, but I hope they hold the Senate. Biden + Rep Senate should hopefully keep the worst ideas from the left from seeing the light of day.
 
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