GDT: 4/12 Marlins @ Braves

B

bravesfanforlife88

Well-known member
Acuna RF
Albies 2B
Freeman 1B
Ozuna LF
Swanson SS
------------------- YUCK below this line
Riley 3B
Jackson C
Inciarte CF
Ynoa P

Dickerson LF
Marte CF
Cooper 1B
Anderson 3B
Duvall RF (We always get crushed by our former players)
Chisholm 2B
Rojas SS
Alfaro C
Alcantara P


It is nice to see Pache get a day off, I feel like he is pressing and could benefit from the rest
 
Duvall won't do anything. Marlins got conned into making him an everyday player. Just don't let him face a lefty.
 
bravesfanforlife88 said:
------------------- YUCK below this line
Riley 3B
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I've been as big a Riley-skeptic as anyone, but he's been hitting the ball hard and is passing the defensive eye-test, at least, with some truly nifty plays at 3B. Last night was a great example of each of those things, but he's also sporting a .317 xwoba against a .218 woba.

He could strike out a little less (28.1% k-rate, up from last season's 23.8%) and walk a little more (6.3% bb-rate, down from last season's 7.8%), but he's mostly (a) getting unlucky and (b) not lofting the ball at all yet (LA for the season is 3.5). Both his luck and his LA should improve with more PA.
 
jpx7 said:
I've been as big a Riley-skeptic as anyone, but he's been hitting the ball hard and is passing the defensive eye-test, at least, with some truly nifty plays at 3B. Last night was a great example of each of those things, but he's also sporting a .317 xwoba against a .218 woba.

He could strike out a little less (28.1% k-rate, up from last season's 23.8%) and walk a little more (6.3% bb-rate, down from last season's 7.8%), but he's mostly (a) getting unlucky and (b) not lofting the ball at all yet (LA for the season is 3.5). Both his luck and his LA should improve with more PA.
Click to expand...

I was just about to post this. Riley, like most of the Braves hitters, has better inputs than his results show. I expect some positive regression from him.
 
bravesfanMatt said:
Is positive regression an oxymoron? I like it though.
Click to expand...

In analytics, regression is movement towards an established mean, and can be positive or negative. In this context it is not the opposite of "progression", as progression tends to refer to real improvement of that established mean...or an increase in "true talent". Seems clear as mud to me.
 
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