GDT 4/18/18 vs Phiiiies

Not sure what the booth was talking about but it was probably nowhere close to being right.

Taken directly from mlb.com


Outs Above Average starts with Catch Probability, which takes the distance an outfielder must go, the time he has to get there, and the direction he travels to put a percentage of catch likelihood on each individual batted ball. Outs Above Average is the season-long cumulative expression of each individual Catch Probability play. For example, if an outfielder has a ball hit to him with a 75 percent Catch Probability -- that is, one an average outfielder would make three-quarters of the time -- and he catches it, he'll receive a +.25 credit. If he misses it, he'll receive -.75, reflecting the likelihood of that ball being caught by other outfielders.

All they said was that running that distance and leaping to make a catch above the outfield wall was not in reality a 54% percent probability.
 
Are you kidding me? That’s how we allow the Phillies to break through? This horrible pitching against pitchers has to stop. There’s no reason for it. Just idiotic.
 
All they said was that running that distance and leaping to make a catch above the outfield wall was not in reality a 54% percent probability.

That does seem a little high but I trust math over those clowns.

And catch probability does now take into account plays at the wall
 
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