GDT 5/9/26: Braves @ Dodgers - For Bobby!!!

At the very least, Bummer is a free agent in 2027, and the Braves can also decline Lopez’s club option for 2027. Jimenez is a free agent as well if he’s truly cooked.
 
Lopez has a better chance to rebound next year if he can stay healthy this year. Full season of throwing along with a full offseason of being healthy will go a long way for him.

His starter days need to done
 
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Even before tonight, I was way more worried about Lopez than Strider. Shoulders are tough and his might just be cooked.

I think Lopez just needs time to ramp his arm strength up. He pitched like 5 innings over 18 months. The goal should have always been to get his velocity back to normal as a reliever then move him back to the rotation. I think it might take until next year for him to build back up. I think he has been fine as a low leverage inning eater out of the pen. Theres value in a guy who might give up 1-2 runs but is safe for a 5 run lead. We just dont need more than 1 of those.
 
Here’s what we are facing today: from a good friend of mine-

Wrobleski is the poster child of being thrown luckiest SP on the planet right now.

BABIP .222 meaning every ground ball is being hit at players. Even the Skubals and Skenes of the world are around .290-.300

HR to FB ratio - 0% again the aces around 8-10%. Not something a pitcher can do to keep this so low.

Strand rate of runners on base. 85%. This again normalizes around 75% for all pitchers.

He does not strike out anybody or induce swing and misses, has not increased his velocity of changed his pitch mix.

I would like to invite him with me however to Vegas with me while he is on his hot streak!
 
i don't know where the first one is pulling from, but it's so easy to vibe code a pitching model that pulls in statcast data and slaps a grade on it that i'm really suspicious of the grades from pitcher list stats.
Yeah I've been leary of this for awhile. I think it showed a position player with better Stuff+ than Bryce Elder a few weeks ago.

All I know is that the 4 seamer was on par with 2023 Strider. Similar velocity (96.4 vs 97.2) and IVB (17.3" vs 18.4") but it actually got significantly better horizontal movement than 2023 (8.9" vs 6.0"). The command was spotty at times, as the zone % shows, but he Dodgers just had no chance vs him last night.

And unlike 2023 Strider, he didn't see a dip in velocity late in the game, granted it's only his 2nd start.
 
Here’s what we are facing today: from a good friend of mine-

Wrobleski is the poster child of being thrown luckiest SP on the planet right now.

BABIP .222 meaning every ground ball is being hit at players. Even the Skubals and Skenes of the world are around .290-.300

HR to FB ratio - 0% again the aces around 8-10%. Not something a pitcher can do to keep this so low.

Strand rate of runners on base. 85%. This again normalizes around 75% for all pitchers.

He does not strike out anybody or induce swing and misses, has not increased his velocity of changed his pitch mix.

I would like to invite him with me however to Vegas with me while he is on his hot streak!
Braves are homerless their last 3 games. I think we will tee off today.
 
Here’s what we are facing today: from a good friend of mine-

Wrobleski is the poster child of being thrown luckiest SP on the planet right now.

BABIP .222 meaning every ground ball is being hit at players. Even the Skubals and Skenes of the world are around .290-.300

HR to FB ratio - 0% again the aces around 8-10%. Not something a pitcher can do to keep this so low.

Strand rate of runners on base. 85%. This again normalizes around 75% for all pitchers.

He does not strike out anybody or induce swing and misses, has not increased his velocity of changed his pitch mix.

I would like to invite him with me however to Vegas with me while he is on his hot streak!

Guy has a .325 xwOBA which is right around average. It's funny that he's facing Elder today. The start of his season mirrors what Elder was doing at the start of 2023.
 
i don't know where the first one is pulling from, but it's so easy to vibe code a pitching model that pulls in statcast data and slaps a grade on it that i'm really suspicious of the grades from pitcher list stats.
Yeah, this guy keeps getting posted, but I’ve seen no evidence that these grades are based on literally anything relevant.
 
I want to start an account where I grade each pitcher's offering on a scale ranging from "totally bitchin'" to "lameass."

For example, in his start against the Rockies, Strider's fastball was pure lameass. No shades of gray. But I graded his curveball as high-end radical, right on the border with bitchin, albeit still a ways from totally bitchin.
 
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