GDT: 6/6 Braves at Padres

Garmel

Well-known member
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So Folty going to be an ace moving forward?

Never been happier to be wrong in my life.

Of the 7,438 times you've been wrong about a player, you've never been happier? Must be due to the fact it's the only time you decided to be down on a player to make a point that you aren't always pimping Braves players.

Folty's success isn't as flukey as Newk's, but it also isn't sustainable at quite this level.
 
Of the 7,438 times you've been wrong about a player, you've never been happier? Must be due to the fact it's the only time you decided to be down on a player to make a point that you aren't always pimping Braves players.

Folty's success isn't as flukey as Newk's, but it also isn't sustainable at quite this level.

The funny thing is, statcast stats like Newk better than Folty.

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/sean-newcomb-656794?stats=career-r-pitching-mlb

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/mike-foltynewicz-592314?stats=career-r-pitching-mlb

Suggests Folty is getting more luck, even if your favorite predictive stat likes him more than Newk.
 
The funny thing is, statcast stats like Newk better than Folty.

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/sean-newcomb-656794?stats=career-r-pitching-mlb

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/mike-foltynewicz-592314?stats=career-r-pitching-mlb

Suggests Folty is getting more luck, even if your favorite predictive stat likes him more than Newk.

Newk is pitching as good or better than Folty, mostly due to a superior GB rate. That much is clear.

However, Newk also has much farther to regress when that 4.9% HR/FB value decides to normalize.

Folty's 8.6% value is low, but not obscenely low, and his elevated K rate has helped tamp down his HR/9 so far. Newk is simply getting lucky on FBs not leaving the park.
 
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