Just looking at this 3 series stretch before the Mets series we really need to go 7-3 because the Mets aren't going to play .500 ball either. 7-3 pretty much guarantees we are even or ahead going into the Mets series. if we win the series vs Reds and sweep the AA Marlins then a split vs LA was fine. A win with Holmes starting tonight would certainly make me much more optimistic. We can't afford to do worse than 4-2 and we got at least 2 Holmes starts to get through. And I don't think Holmes is bad it's just we need great pitching to have a realistic chance of winning a game. And even then it's only like 70% win rate.