GDT: Braves @ Reds 4/26 (No Camargo)

Newk had better MiLB numbers and already better major league numbers than Miller ever had.

I am a huge Newk fan.. he has the stuff and flashes it. This game is one of the few I have seen where he was dealing and then just completely lost it. There has to be something that can be flipped in his head to make his delivery repeatable.
 
There can definitely be some sort of bias in these things. My bias tends to be in the opposite direction in the great Newk/Folty debate.

Folty -- 70 starts, 3.4 fWAR, 4.44 FIP
Newcomb -- 23 starts, 1.6 fWAR, 4.05 FIP

If Newcomb stays at fWAR pace, he would be at 4.9 after 70 starts.
 
Yeah that is kinda what I was thinking. I was basing it off of Paul's own website giving him a 60/55 grade. I just don't know how often a 60 grade runner breaks the 30 mark. I haven't seen the data, but in my mind it seems like it wouldn't happen that often at all.

I have 60 grade speed as an average of 28. It's feasible a guy tops 30 on a dead sprint between 1B and 3B.

The data for individual sprints is not available, but this article has a few tidbits: https://www.mlb.com/news/statcast-sprint-speed-tracks-baserunner-speed/c-238268162

"Sierra had six tracked runs that qualified this year, each one falling between 29.0 and 30.8 ft/sec, for an average of 29.9."

So we see one instance of a spread about 2 ft/s. One single data point, but some more googling can likely find videos with sprint speeds for players on individual events.
 
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Feels like Cincinnati has zero idea how to utilize Peraza.

He shouldn’t play every day

He shouldn’t play shortstop

He shouldn’t hit second in the lineup
 
Folty -- 70 starts, 3.4 fWAR, 4.44 FIP
Newcomb -- 23 starts, 1.6 fWAR, 4.05 FIP

If Newcomb stays at fWAR pace, he would be at 4.9 after 70 starts.

I hope it happens. In fact, I hope he becomes the pitcher of thethe’s dreams.
 
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