GeorgiaGirl
NL Rookie of the Year
Yeah, I've modeled myself as fairly apathetic to the idea that "the next thing that we see him do or be accused of is going to be the one that burns Trump!" as I've waded my way in here, but this one is fairly easy. If diesel alone is $5+ for much longer (let alone in other areas that may be higher as I'm in the south or other gas blends), there is no question that it is going to be very harmful, maybe harmful enough that we'll finally see some minor "touch the proverbial hot stove" results in areas you really shouldn't (which would mean upsets based on the way at least one, if not more of OH/AK/TX/IA votes). It's clear that people aren't really going to care about what's going on unless it affects them.
There is definitely still time though in my head for us to still end up at "the show must go on!" but I think the deadline is probably a week or two before May. If by then, Iran operations are getting wrapped up and oil starts falling before the summer driving season begins, the midterm questions will fall on domestic issues, and we'll probably end up back where we were for 2019. But if not...
Only thing that I think is settled is that the disaffected libertarian types who Trump won the hearts of probably feel betrayed enough to withhold their vote that would support Trump in November.
