Global Events & Politics Überthread

So you're saying Irans actions to spike oil prices cannot be countered? Thats not part of Trumps calculus?
You misunderstand the point of bringing up oil prices in the first place.

It’s an unprecedented supply shock after less than 2 weeks of conflict. I have no doubts things like SPR releases can help with short term prices (also depleting the reserves isn’t a good thing). But these are not sustainable solutions

And yet you seals are laughing calling everybody panicans because prices are up only 10% from Friday.
 
You misunderstand the point of bringing up oil prices in the first place.

It’s an unprecedented supply shock after less than 2 weeks of conflict. I have no doubts things like SPR releases can help with short term prices (also depleting the reserves isn’t a good thing). But these are not sustainable solutions

And yet you seals are laughing calling everybody panicans because prices are up only 10% from Friday instead of 20%.
The SPR releases will calm prices for weeks - Just in time for the US to take complete control of Southern Iran.
 
Russia acting adamant, taking the side of Iran.
$3.29 per gallon as of 10AM.
Take that China.

Who'da thunk a guy that ran a gambling casino ( the term playing with house money) into the ground would blunder us into this, quagmire ?
Haven't seen that term in this context since late 60s.
Quick without google, what were the headlines in those days ?

I'd love to be reading this wrong, but, I seen this movie
 
the hormuz straight being shut down is a big fucking deal and shouldn't be dismissed as a nothing event
When its obvious that its temporary and the US will control all passage soon then going wild over a short term fluctuation is kind of silly.
 
Go look it up, take yer boys with you.
After the false accusations aimed at Central Park 5 what kinda fool would believe anything generated by this side show barker

But as PT Barnum said, ...
 
When its obvious that its temporary and the US will control all passage soon then going wild over a short term fluctuation is kind of silly.
I’m just trying to understand what the goal is.

Let’s assume that happens, how long is the US going to need to control the canal?

While the ballistics launches have slowed down (which is great), the Iranian drone strikes have increased since the start of the war.

All this gets back to my fundamental criticism — what’s the scope of our involvement? Air campaign? Naval blockade/escorts? Special ops on the ground in Iran?

And for how long? Until we extract/dilute the enriched uranium? IRGC completely destroyed? Until “acceptable” New leadership takes control?

I don’t expect you to know the answer to any of these questions because I know the Pentagon/White House haven’t provided answers.
 
I’m just trying to understand what the goal is.

Let’s assume that happens, how long is the US going to need to control the canal?

While the ballistics launches have slowed down (which is great), the Iranian drone strikes have increased since the start of the war.

All this gets back to my fundamental criticism — what’s the scope of our involvement? Air campaign? Naval blockade/escorts? Special ops on the ground in Iran?

And for how long? Until we extract/dilute the enriched uranium? IRGC completely destroyed? Until “acceptable” New leadership takes control?

I don’t expect you to know the answer to any of these questions because I know the Pentagon/White House haven’t provided answers.

They won't be able to produce drones for much longer so we will just bomb them into the stoneage until they are irrelevant.

This success will also be contingent on the Iranian people taking control of the country so I'd expect a lot of special operations happening currently to start arming a militia to take back the country.

The US will always have control of the straight and I think the middle eastern countries would be fine with that.
 
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