How last year's top 10 picks have performed.

P

Preacher

Where's My Cup of Coffee?
Always fun to go back and look at all the familiar names and see how everyone is doing one year into their careers.

1. Mickey Moniak, Phillies OF

SAL 206 AB, .267/.322/.398, 13 2B, 4 3B, 2 HR, 5 SB, 4 CS, 47 SO, 15 BB

BA #13 Pipeline #14

2. Nick Senzel, Reds 3B

FSL 219 AB, .306/.369/.466, 21 2B, 1 3B, 4 HR, 9 SB, 2 CS, 47 SO, 19 BB

BA #6 Pipeline #20

3. Ian Anderson, BRAVES RHP

SAL 50.1 IP, 4.65 ERA, 68 SO, 26 BB, .255 BAA, 1.47 WHIP

BA #60 Pipeline #76

4. Riley Pint, Rockies RHP

SAL 35.2 IP, 4.29 ERA, 22 SO, 23 BB, .279 BAA, .174 WHIP

BA #42 Pipeline #43

5. Corey Ray, Brewers OF

CAR 182 AB, .264/.319/.393, 13 2B, 2 3B, 4 HR, 64 SO, 20 BB, 13 SB, 5 CS

BA #36 Pipeline #23

6. AJ Puk, A's LHP

CAL 51.1 IP, 3.51 ERA, 81 SO, 22 BB, .177 BAA, 1.07 WHIP

BA #79 Pipeline Pipeline #60

7. Braxton Garrett, Marlins LHP (**INJURED, likely TJS incoming)

SAL 15.1 IP, 2.93 ERA, 16 SO, 6 BB, .220 BAA, 1.24 WHIP

BA #80 Pipeline #37

8. Cal Quantrill, Padres RHP

CAL 53.1 IP, 3.54 ERA, 56 SO, 17 BB, .262 BAA, 1.31 WHIP

BA #78 Pipeline #86

9. Matt Manning, Tigers RHP

Hasn't pitched in 2017, the Tigers sent him to extended spring training to develop him slowly. He did pitch well in 2016 in the GCL FWIW.

BA #81 Pipeline #64

10. Zack Collins, White Sox C

CAR 174 AB, .224/.388/.443, 10 2B, 2 3B, 8 HR, 60 SO, 46 BB

BA #51 Pipeline #71

Other interesting names, or names that were maybe linked to the Braves

11. Kyle Lewis, Mariners OF (INJURED, right-knee injury)

Hasn't played in 2017, but was off to a pretty good start in 2016 before a major knee injury derailed him.

BA #30 Pipeline #22

12. Jason Groome, Red Sox LHP (LAT injury)

SAL 1.1 IP, 60.75 ERA

BA #41 Pipeline #36

18. Blake Rutherford, Yankees OF

SAL 175 AB, .280/.355/.394, 13 2B, 2 3B, 1 HR, 40 SO, 22 BB, 9 SB, 1 CS

BA #37 Pipeline #32

28. Carter Kieboom, Nats SS

SAL 111 AB, .333/.398/.586, 10 2B, 6 HR, 25 SO, 10 BB, 2 SB

So a couple quick random thoughts here.

- Bad luck for the Mariners and Marlins; both Lewis and Garrett were off to fine starts.

- Nick Senzel is doing what people thought he'd do, hit for a high average, rope doubles, get on base but not hit for a ton of power.

- Riley Pint has some alarming early peripherals with a 5.55 K/9 and a 5.80 BB/9 rate. His FIP is 5.01.

- AJ Puk has probably been the most dominant player of this group; posting a 3.68 SO/BB ratio and allowing only a single HR --- keep in mind he's also 22 in A+ ball. Will need to see how he does when he bumps up into the grown man Soroka/Allard league.

- Really interesting to see how the Tigers are managing Matt Manning, he pitched well last year, but they are certainly treating him with kid gloves by sending to extended to start this season.

- Corey Ray is striking out about 31% of the time as a 22 year old in A+, validating some of the pre-draft concerns about his hit tool.
 
Definitely interesting, thanks for doing this. I sure wish Kieboom would've fallen to our 40/44 picks like a lot of analysts were connecting before the draft.
 
Anderson has really struggled his last 5-6 starts. Not sure what he is going through, but I think he is better than he is pitching. I still worry that he is dealing with something and not telling anyone.
 
bravesfanMatt said:
Anderson has really struggled his last 5-6 starts. Not sure what he is going through, but I think he is better than he is pitching. I still worry that he is dealing with something and not telling anyone.
Click to expand...

He's been inconsistent; but a lot of the numbers under the hood are pretty good. His FIP is 2.88 and he's striking out 12.16 per/9, and he's been hit with a .390 BABIP.
 
Preacher said:
He's been inconsistent; but a lot of the numbers under the hood are pretty good. His FIP is 2.88 and he's striking out 12.16 per/9, and he's been hit with a .390 BABIP.
Click to expand...

true, but his BB% has jumped recently (if I am remembering correctly).. That is what concerns me. maybe not injury per se.. just a bout of rattled nerves. --I guess a ~.400 BABIP could give you that.
 
bravesfanMatt said:
true, but his BB% has jumped recently (if I am remembering correctly).. That is what concerns me. maybe not injury per se.. just a bout of rattled nerves. --I guess a ~.400 BABIP could give you that.
Click to expand...

Last outing was definitely a weird one. I think he was dominating for the first few innings and then just fell apart. It certainly has been strange.
 
I wouldn't worry about Anderson's control yet. It's not like he's 24 years old and has been walking guys his entire professional career.
 
Another guy the Braves were connected to with our 2nd/3rd picks: Taylor Trammell is hitting .264/.357/.442 in low A this year in 230 PA. 50 K, 30 BB, 12 2B, 7 3B (damn), 3 HR and 15 SB. Wishing he had fallen.
 
Again Puk is 22 years old in A+ ball.

He's been fantastic, and he probably always had the nastiest stuff in the draft, but I doubt many A+ hitters have seen many pitchers with Puk's combination of fastball/slider.... it's going to be interesting when he moves up. How's the changeup?
 
www.fangraphs.com

This week’s Prospect Stock Watch celebrates the amateur draft – which kicks off later today. Let’s have a look at three early draft picks from 2016 and catch up on their exploits.

Mickey Moniak, OF, Phillies: We can’t review the 2016 draft without checking up on the first player selected. This 19-year-old outfielder isn’t producing eye-popping numbers just yet but he’s holding his own in low-A ball. Although he’s hitting just .266, he projects to develop into a .280-.300 hitter with gap power and maybe 10-12 home runs. He has good speed that helps him play excellent center-field defence but he’s struggled on the base paths with just five steals in nine tries. He’s probably about three years away from the Majors at this point when he might push Odubel Herrera to a corner outfield spot.

Corey Ray, OF, Brewers: Ray’s prospect value lost some momentum after he opened the 2017 season on the disabled list but it’s starting to pick up again. The second college bat selected in the ’16 draft (fifth overall), he returned to action in mid-April and has shown gap power (20 of 49 hits have gone for extra bases) and a willingness to take a walk (23 in 47 games). On the down side, he’s struck out 69 times in 192 at-bats at the high-A ball level. Once Ray learns to make more consistent contact and grows into his man-strength, he should be a 20-20 (HR-SB) threat. The Brewers are in the middle of a rebuilding effort but they have some real talent surfacing at the big league level. Ray should be ready for everyday play in The Show in 2019 or 2020 and that should coincide nicely with the club’s resurgence.

Ian Anderson, RHP, Braves: Considered a “value pick” third overall so the club could spread bonus money to other players later in the draft, this young right-handed starter has already justified his slot. Anderson, 19, has 73 strikeouts through 56.1 low-A innings and has forced opposing hitters to pound his offerings into the ground – although he has allowed eight homers when the ball has found the air. At 6-3 and 170 pounds, he has room to add additional velocity to his offerings and his command/control should eventually be better than average. If everything breaks right with Anderson, he could develop into a front-line arm. Look for him to follow the Braves’ development strategy for young starters (see Mike Soroka) and jump to double-A as a 20 year old in 2018.



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"Justified his slot" is an interesting term to use.
 
Tapate50 said:
www.fangraphs.com

This week’s Prospect Stock Watch celebrates the amateur draft – which kicks off later today. Let’s have a look at three early draft picks from 2016 and catch up on their exploits.

Mickey Moniak, OF, Phillies: We can’t review the 2016 draft without checking up on the first player selected. This 19-year-old outfielder isn’t producing eye-popping numbers just yet but he’s holding his own in low-A ball. Although he’s hitting just .266, he projects to develop into a .280-.300 hitter with gap power and maybe 10-12 home runs. He has good speed that helps him play excellent center-field defence but he’s struggled on the base paths with just five steals in nine tries. He’s probably about three years away from the Majors at this point when he might push Odubel Herrera to a corner outfield spot.

Corey Ray, OF, Brewers: Ray’s prospect value lost some momentum after he opened the 2017 season on the disabled list but it’s starting to pick up again. The second college bat selected in the ’16 draft (fifth overall), he returned to action in mid-April and has shown gap power (20 of 49 hits have gone for extra bases) and a willingness to take a walk (23 in 47 games). On the down side, he’s struck out 69 times in 192 at-bats at the high-A ball level. Once Ray learns to make more consistent contact and grows into his man-strength, he should be a 20-20 (HR-SB) threat. The Brewers are in the middle of a rebuilding effort but they have some real talent surfacing at the big league level. Ray should be ready for everyday play in The Show in 2019 or 2020 and that should coincide nicely with the club’s resurgence.

Ian Anderson, RHP, Braves: Considered a “value pick” third overall so the club could spread bonus money to other players later in the draft, this young right-handed starter has already justified his slot. Anderson, 19, has 73 strikeouts through 56.1 low-A innings and has forced opposing hitters to pound his offerings into the ground – although he has allowed eight homers when the ball has found the air. At 6-3 and 170 pounds, he has room to add additional velocity to his offerings and his command/control should eventually be better than average. If everything breaks right with Anderson, he could develop into a front-line arm. Look for him to follow the Braves’ development strategy for young starters (see Mike Soroka) and jump to double-A as a 20 year old in 2018.



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"Justified his slot" is an interesting term to use.
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Nothing much to like about those write-ups of Moniak and Ray.
 
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