Is Folty “back”?

Tapate50

Tapate50

Well-known member
I figured Cheff could take a few minutes off from riding eccentric posts into the ground and let us know whether the eye test of Foltys arsenal being somewhat improved are correct?

After all that’s what Sav and AA pay you the big bucks for... Hell our membership fees should be paying for way more than what we get here.
 
With all the talk about the slicker ball last night, that further pushes me into thinking that much of Folty's issues are related to the ball. His grip type caused more issues and that was compounded by his failure to adapt. I think he'll be fine, but 2018 was more of just a hot streak. I think he finishes this year and next in exactly the way that make it hard to decide what to do with him.
 
I'll give it the ole college try since Enscheff is MIA in this thread:

It's been 3 starts since he was recalled, so SSS applies here, but this is how his numbers compare:

K/9 - 10.69
This is very encouraging considering he had a K rate right at 7.5 prior to being recalled. This also is a full 2 K/9 over his career mark and a shade over his 2018 numbers.

BB/9 - 3.94
A little elevated, but nothing to be majorly concerned about, especially in a short sample.

HR/9 - 1.69 and HR/FB - 15.8
Down from 2.43 and 20.5% respectively. Again very encouraging to see dramatic improvement in both of these areas, though it's still far off from his 2018 performance (which was likely an outlier in this regard).

BABIP .370
Obviously very high and suggests some bad luck, which I thought was likely the case.

Hard hit% - 32.7%
May be the most encouraging stat of all. Down from an abysmal 44.2% from his previous 11 starts. The 32.7% is right in line with career numbers.

What is also encouraging is that pretty much all of these numbers have improved in every game since he was recalled. So while again, SSS applies here, it's very encouraging to see these improvements and leads me to believe that better overall results are forthcoming.
 
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Carp said:
I'll give it the ole college try since Enscheff is MIA in this thread:

It's been 3 starts since he was recalled, so SSS applies here, but this is how his numbers compare:

K/9 - 10.69
This is very encouraging considering he had a K rate right at 7.5 prior to being recalled. This also is a full 2 K/9 over his career mark and a shade over his 2018 numbers.

BB/9 - 3.94
A little elevated, but nothing to be majorly concerned about, especially in a short sample.

HR/9 - 1.69 and HR/FB - 15.8
Down from 2.43 and 20.5% respectively. Again very encouraging to see dramatic improvement in both of these areas, though it's still far off from his 2018 performance (which was likely an outlier in this regard).

BABIP .370
Obviously very high and suggests some bad luck, which I thought was likely the case.

Hard hit% - 32.7%
May be the most encouraging stat of all. Down from an abysmal 44.2% from his previous 11 starts. The 32.7% is right in line with career numbers.

What is also encouraging is that pretty much all of these numbers have improved in every game since he was recalled. So while again, SSS applies here, it's very encouraging to see these improvements and leads me to believe that better overall results are forthcoming.
Click to expand...

xwoba is .364.
 
Everyone is looking at stats for Folty that can't possibly stabilize after 3 starts...

There have been 3 incarnations of Folty so far in 2019: low velocity Folty, high velocity Folty, post-AAA Folty.

Low velocity Folty was sitting around 93/94 with his FA, and something clearly wasn't right.

High velocity Folty has been sitting around 95/96, but the SL was missing 1" of movement in both directions. His spin rate on the SL was down from a career best 2518 RPM in 2019 to 2447 RPM in 2019. This is very close to the 2427 RPM value he posted in 2017 when his SL had similar movement.

So far in 2019, post-AAA Folty has posted consecutive SL spin rates of 2420, 2468, and 2480. This spin rate is trending back up to the 2500+ level, and is the good sign we should be hoping to see.

At 27 we are seeing Folty's stuff start to decline at the age pitchers typically "learn how to pitch" in order to compensate for that decline. I don't think anyone who follows the Braves is overly hopeful Folty will master the mental side of the game any time soon, but maybe it will start to happen. In the mean time, the keys to Folty's success are the SL spin rate/efficiency and FA/SI velocity...and his poor HR/FB and LOB rates getting out of the unlucky territory.
 
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