Minor League Thread Part Deux

CJ9 said:
Just brutal stuff here from Baseball America:

It was a debut to forget for Southisene. The Braves first-rounder hit .219/.242/.297 in 15 games with Low-A Augusta and had a brutal 27:1 strikeout-to-walk rate. Among 50+ PA hitters, Southisene ranked dead last with a .157 xwOBA. He was one of the most aggressive debut hitters with a 53.5% swing rate and a 37.5% chase rate. When he did hit the ball, it was often on the ground. The silver lining here is that Southisene’s contact quality was loud. His 105.4 mph 90th percentile exit velocity was second among all teenagers, narrowly behind Ethan Holliday (105.5).
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As we’ve discussed, he should never have been in Low-A at his age, but the Complex Leagues end too early after the reshuffling. He makes really hard contact—a tremendous sign. Everything else can be disregarded.
 
CJ9 said:
Just brutal stuff here from Baseball America:

It was a debut to forget for Southisene. The Braves first-rounder hit .219/.242/.297 in 15 games with Low-A Augusta and had a brutal 27:1 strikeout-to-walk rate. Among 50+ PA hitters, Southisene ranked dead last with a .157 xwOBA. He was one of the most aggressive debut hitters with a 53.5% swing rate and a 37.5% chase rate. When he did hit the ball, it was often on the ground. The silver lining here is that Southisene’s contact quality was loud. His 105.4 mph 90th percentile exit velocity was second among all teenagers, narrowly behind Ethan Holliday (105.5).
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Yet the Braves passed over the Golden Spikes winner, who played the same position, is much closer to MLB, and has similar physical ability...

Yes, I'm still bitter about that one.
 
DirkPiggler said:
Yet the Braves passed over the Golden Spikes winner, who played the same position, is much closer to MLB, and has similar physical ability...

Yes, I'm still bitter about that one.
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Not sure how you’re taking a victory lap yet. Like already stated, the only thing we can take out his short time in a league he was too young for is his EV. And it seems to be exceptional.
 
jpx7 said:
As we’ve discussed, he should never have been in Low-A at his age, but the Complex Leagues end too early after the reshuffling. He makes really hard contact—a tremendous sign. Everything else can be disregarded.
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Agreed. The contact stuff can be troubling but putting stock or too much into where he was and the results at this stage won't mean much.
 
jpx7 said:
As we’ve discussed, he should never have been in Low-A at his age, but the Complex Leagues end too early after the reshuffling. He makes really hard contact—a tremendous sign. Everything else can be disregarded.
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Best post made. He was way too young but we didn't have much choice since the younger leagues were over. His high EV's should tell us he has a high ceiling.
 
Luke Sinnard getting a lot of publicity in the Arizona Fall League. Longenhagen article today on Fangraphs: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/arizona-fall-league-prospect-stock-check-in/

"In the Mix as Major League Starters
Luke Sinnard, RHP, Atlanta Braves
Spencer Miles, RHP, San Francisco Giants
Anderson Brito, RHP, Houston Astros

One of the interesting thought exercises while scouting the entire Fall League is, “Which of these guys can be major league starters?” There are some years where there are several good guys, and some with only one or two. This year’s contingent had several candidates from the jump (like Luis De León, Jake Bennett, Jose Corniell, and Hagen Smith, all of whom I think you can make a coherent argument belong on this offseason’s Top 100 list) and a handful more are emerging, including the names above.

The 6-foot-8 Sinnard only began playing baseball during his senior year of high school. He started his college career at Western Kentucky, then had a sophomore breakout at Indiana when he set the school’s single-season strikeout record with 114 in 86 1/3 innings. He blew out during his Regional start at the end of 2023, had Tommy John, and was back in time to throw some scouted pre-draft bullpens in 2024, including at the Combine. Sinnard looked good enough in those settings for the Braves to use a third rounder on him, then he saw his first pro action in 2025 and worked an efficient 72 innings split between Low- and High-A. He missed roughly six weeks in June and July recovering from an elbow stress reaction, which is why he’s in the Fall League picking up innings. He’s added a splitter that wasn’t there in college, he can mix breaking ball shapes from cutters to curveballs, and he’s commanding a 92-96 mph fastball with uncommon precision for a guy his size."
 
More about Sinnard, from another forum:


"I absolutely love what the coaches in the AFL are doing w/ Sinnard's 4-seamer from a spin & shape perspective. Here's a comparison of his 1st game (prior to getting much instruction) vs. a mash-up of his 2nd & 3rd games:

10/14 (prior to getting much instruction) - spin = 2485 RPM, IVB = 16.0" [0 whiffs generated]
10/18 + 10/25 (implementing instruction) - spin = 2611 RPM, IVB = 18.5" [9 whiffs generated].
This bump in spin & IVB combined w/ Sinnard's velo (95.5 MPH) & high release point (~6.8') makes Sinnard's 4-Seamer a real rarity among MLB pitchers:

he'd be top-8 in vertical release point
among those 8 he'd be #1 in spin (by nearly 200 RPM)
among those 8 he'd be #2 in velo (trailing only Pete Fairbanks' 97.3 MPH)
among those 8 he'd be #3 in IVB (trailing only Yesavage & Pivetta & pretty much equivalent to Verlander)
among those 8 he'd be #2 in HBreak (his 7.7" only trailing Verlander's 8.9")
lastly, unless his stride is really short, then his arm angle of ~47° would probably put his extension at no worse than #2 among those 8 (Pivetta's 6.9' might be tough to beat).
 
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