Official Draft Day, Post-Draft Thread

We know a few facts that can allow us to deduce what it will cost to sign Wright:

1. SD had him as their guy for a while.

2. SD wanted to go under slot with the #1 pick.

3. Lewis was slotted in around #5-#7, with slot values of $5M-$5.7M.

4. SD likely offered somewhere in the neighborhood of $5.7M to Lewis, McKay and Wright.

5. Lewis was the only one who agreed, so they drafted him.

6. SD will likely sign Lewis for under $6M.

If Wright wouldn't take ~$5.7M from SD as the #1 pick, it is highly unlikely he takes less than that from the Braves at #5. Wright will almost certainly require full slot, and probably the additional 10% teams are allowed to go over.
 
CJ9 said:
Baseball America draft writer saying Nick Allen likely goes third in the third round to San Diego.
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I was thinking maybe we can draft Nick Allen and move him to second base.

There is a huge chance that we will draft a pitcher with the 80 pick.
 
Enscheff said:
We know a few facts that can allow us to deduce what it will cost to sign Wright:

1. SD had him as their guy for a while.

2. SD wanted to go under slot with the #1 pick.

3. Lewis was slotted in around #5-#7, with slot values of $5M-$5.7M.

4. SD likely offered somewhere in the neighborhood of $5.7M to Lewis, McKay and Wright.

5. Lewis was the only one who agreed, so they drafted him.

6. SD will likely sign Lewis for under $6M.

If Wright wouldn't take ~$5.7M from SD as the #1 pick, it is highly unlikely he takes less than that from the Braves at #5. Wright will almost certainly require full slot, and probably the additional 10% teams are allowed to go over.
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Players taken that high typically go under slot, no? I bet Wright comes in underslot. Not by a lot but nevertheless under.

Also I think you meant Minny, not SD.
 
Enscheff said:
We know a few facts that can allow us to deduce what it will cost to sign Wright:

1. SD had him as their guy for a while.
2. SD wanted to go under slot with the #1 pick.
3. Lewis was slotted in around #5-#7, with slot values of $5M-$5.7M.
4. SD likely offered somewhere in the neighborhood of $5.7M to Lewis, McKay and Wright.
5. Lewis was the only one who agreed, so they drafted him.
6. SD will likely sign Lewis for under $6M.

If Wright wouldn't take ~$5.7M from SD as the #1 pick, it is highly unlikely he takes less than that from the Braves at #5. Wright will almost certainly require full slot, and probably the additional 10% teams are allowed to go over.
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Are you using code? Didn't Minnesota draft Lewis?
 
Also, Bor-ass has already come out and said Lewis is the best talent in the draft and will seek to get paid that way. Not sure he is going to cut Minn. a deal for Lewis.
 
Enscheff said:
We know a few facts that can allow us to deduce what it will cost to sign Wright:

1. SD had him as their guy for a while.

2. SD wanted to go under slot with the #1 pick.

3. Lewis was slotted in around #5-#7, with slot values of $5M-$5.7M.

4. SD likely offered somewhere in the neighborhood of $5.7M to Lewis, McKay and Wright.

5. Lewis was the only one who agreed, so they drafted him.

6. SD will likely sign Lewis for under $6M.

If Wright wouldn't take ~$5.7M from SD as the #1 pick, it is highly unlikely he takes less than that from the Braves at #5. Wright will almost certainly require full slot, and probably the additional 10% teams are allowed to go over.
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Keep in mind that it's not quite that simple. Players aren't going to just roll over for teams, so it's distinctly possible that Wright would be willing to take a deal from Atlanta he wouldn't from Minnesota, simply because he has less bargaining power with Atlanta than with Minnesota.

We ran into similarly flawed logic last year with Lewis. We looked at what he accepted from Seattle and then assumed we could have had him for the same amount at 3. Bonuses aren't negotiated in a vacuum.
 
Here are last years slots and signing values

1. PHI - Mickey Moniak, OF, La Costa Canyon HS (Calif.)

$6,100,000 (Pick value: $9,015,000)

Starting assignment: Rookie-level GCL Phillies

2. CIN - Nick Senzel, 3B, Tennessee

$6,200,000 (Pick value: $7,762,900)

Starting assignment: Rookie-level Billings

3. ATL - Ian Anderson, RHP, Shenendehowa HS (N.Y.)

$4,000,000 (Pick value: $6,510,800)

Starting assignment: Rookie-level GCL Braves

4. COL - Riley Pint, RHP, Saint Thomas Aquinas HS (Kan.)

$4,800,000 (Pick value: $5,258,700)

Starting assignment: Rookie-level Grand Junction

5. MIL - Corey Ray, OF, Louisville

$4,125,000 (Pick value: $4,382,200)

Starting assignment: Class A Advance Brevard County

6. OAK - A.J. Puk, LHP, Florida

$4,069,200 (Pick value: $4,069,200)

Starting assignment: Class A Short Season Vermont

7. MIA - Braxton Garrett, LHP, Florence HS (Ala.)

$4,145,900 (Pick value: $3,756,300)

Starting assignment: TBD

8. SD - Cal Quantrill, RHP, Stanford

$3,963,045 (Pick value: $3,630,900)

Starting assignment: Rookie-level AZL Padres

9. DET - Matt Manning, RHP, Sheldon HS (Calif.)

$3,505,800 (Pick value: $3,505,800)

Starting assignment: Rookie-level GCL Tigers

10. CWS - Zack Collins, C, Miami

$3,380,600 (Pick value: $3,380,600)

Starting assignment: Rookie-level AZL White Sox

I could see Wright being a slot signing a la Puk last year, but I think it is a reasonable possibility he could go underslot based off recent history.
 
I know next to nothing about the amateur ranks, but considering I'd seen nobody mention this guy's name, and mlb.com lists him as unranked, I assume it's a bit of a left-field pick? Plus: more pitching.
 
Tarnok is a HS righty that hits 97 and could hit triple digits if he fills out a little more. Big frame at 6'4.
 
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