I agree but I don't think he needs to win the division. I think if Buffalo wins out he'll close the season out going 5-0 with wins vs. Dallas and at KC and Miami.
Tua I think is hurt by Tyreek, similar to issues Purdy would have had with McCaffrey. If they played someone better than the Jets last week, who knows if they win.
This is a really muddy MVP race. Dak and Purdy seemed to take the lead into a 2 horse race then fumbled the bag.
I mean Lamar is clearly the favorite now. Baltimore is the best team in the NFL and he's dominating. But he could fumble the bag late in the season.
I don't think an NFC player will take the MVP this year. SO, IMO, these are the likely scenarios ranked:
1. Ravens win next week in convincing fashion and Lamar locks it up.
2. Dolphins win out, Tua takes the MVP.
3. Bills manage to win the division, Lamar doesn't look particularly good, and Allen balls out, Allen takes the MVP.