SATURDAY MINORS FINAL 6/17 ... FSL All-star game tonight

thethe said:
No issues with that at all. But let's not say it's over for fried.
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people are impatient. Fried still striking about better than a batter an inning from the left side. Would be foolish to give up on that.

Second half of last season and spring training he was fantastic. As someone said earlier about another prospect -- you know its in them. Just have to see if you can get it out.
 
UNCBlue012 said:
I am one of them and still think so, actually.
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I've always been on the Allard bandwagon but Fried is still right in the same area as the rest of our pitching prospects. He deserves to be mentioned after those that have performed at a young age of course but these things are fluid. Its all about how they are doing in the present. In a situation where Fried goes out and pitching 3 consecutive great outings does anyone really care what he did the first 2 months of the season? Its the minor leagues - those games don't count. Its all about how they are doing when they are ready to get to the big leagues.
 
thethe said:
In a situation where Fried goes out and pitching 3 consecutive great outings does anyone really care what he did the first 2 months of the season? Its the minor leagues - those games don't count. Its all about how they are doing when they are ready to get to the big leagues.
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Even with prospects, where things are more fluid than for established major leaguers, you want to avoid going overboard with the small sample-itis.

As a rough rule, with major league hitters I consider any departure from baseline a hot or cold streak until the hitter reaches 400 ABs. With a minor league hitter, it would be 200 ABs where he is performing well above or below baseline before I start think it might be real.

With a major league starting pitcher, about 20 starts. With a minor leaguer, 10 starts.

3 or 4 starts or 100 at bats, more often it is a hot or cold streak rather than a real change in baseline.
 
thethe said:
In a situation where Fried goes out and pitching 3 consecutive great outings does anyone really care what he did the first 2 months of the season? Its the minor leagues - those games don't count. Its all about how they are doing when they are ready to get to the big leagues.
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I would care about the overall body of work and not fall victim to recency bias.

I think we just went through this with Sims, didn't we?
 
Maybe worth mentioning. One of the Road to Atlanta fansite guys says Fried's velocity has been down and his breaking stuff hasn't been biting.

Speculation that there may be some underlying injury.

But some indication that the stuff which is getting pounded is not what he was throwing before. Grain of salt.
 
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