Shane Greene to Atl being reported

The most predictive thing for TJ is being a pitcher. The next most predictive things are previous elbow issues (book TJ the moment you hear anything about forearm/elbow tightness/soreness/tingling), and sudden increases in velocity.

This is why folks shouldn't be so scared to deal these FV 50 arms for immediate help when a team is in contention. This is also why it is foolish to guarantee any cash to any pitcher for more than 2-3 years at a time beyond their 20s, at which point they are both declining and still a massive injury risk.

Smart GMs obviously know this, but the pressure to win now while they have a job outweighs the consequences 5+ years from now when they could very well be out of a job anyways.
Obviously team payroll plays a large part in that as well. If you're the Yanks or BoSox or Dodgers and you believe that money will probably get you an ace for 3 years, you don't mind ****ting away the money in years 4 and 5. You can afford it.
 
The most predictive thing for TJ is being a pitcher. The next most predictive things are previous elbow issues (book TJ the moment you hear anything about forearm/elbow tightness/soreness/tingling), and sudden increases in velocity.

This is why folks shouldn't be so scared to deal these FV 50 arms for immediate help when a team is in contention. This is also why it is foolish to guarantee any cash to any pitcher for more than 2-3 years at a time beyond their 20s, at which point they are both declining and still a massive injury risk.

Smart GMs obviously know this, but the pressure to win now while they have a job outweighs the consequences 5+ years from now when they could very well be out of a job anyways.


There is a 5 year window after TJ surgery where a pitcher is generally a much better health risk.
 
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