zitothebrave
Connoisseur of Minors
Poor woman. She was likely killed by some ****ty former lover. Or a yahoo tied to her church. It wouldn't be outlandish if it was related to some gang stuff from Newark, but that's improbable.
Some Red State/Blue State Indicia
- Thread starter nsacpi
- Start date
Poor woman. She was likely killed by some ****ty former lover. Or a yahoo tied to her church. It wouldn't be outlandish if it was related to some gang stuff from Newark, but that's improbable.
zitothebrave
Connoisseur of Minors
Yes, Trump idiots are flocking together. THey go to FLorida and Texas because they're still semi-liberal and have cities, etc. And aren't backwoods ****holes like Alabama, Arkansas, and Mississippi.
sturg33
I
Oh so it's all Republicans leaving?
Why did the vote margins in both states tighten so much, then
zitothebrave
Connoisseur of Minors
They did in Texas, they didn't in Florida. But Texas's trends slowed vs. 2016
2020 Trump's MoV in Floriday increased by 2.16%. In 2020 Trump's MoV in Texas tightened and decreased by 3. Which would probably support you point but consider the change from 2012 to 2016 in 2012 Romney won Texas by nearly 16%, Trump won 2016 by nearly 9%. People expected texas to be as tight as FLorida was in 2016. People forget Trump barely won FLorida in 2016, Desantis barely won in 2018. Anyone with 2 functioning braincells can put 2 and 2 together.
zitothebrave
Connoisseur of Minors
Lol
He is not bright enough to understand whats happening
You don't get what Sturg was saying - Look at how much closer NY margin was even though "ALL TRUMP REPUBLICANS LEFT"
sturg33
I
Yeah that one went over his head, sadly
sturg33
I
Please look at the voter margins in California and New York in 2018 and the. 2022
Why did they tighten so much, especially off the backdrop that all the people fleeing the state were Republicans?
It happens time and time again with him.
The other leftist idiots stopped even engaging because they were made to look like fools endlessly.
Zito is just a masochist.
Tapate50
Well-known member
We still have Runnin and the lecturer.
Btw, I really loved the lecturer listing all the things he's been right about. lol.
zitothebrave
Connoisseur of Minors
NY in 2020 had a margin swing of +0.64 in Biden's favor. NY was Hillary's state as a Senator. I'd say that's a net win for Biden and a net loss for your point.
sturg33
I
You need to compare apples to apples, not a presidential year vs a Congress year.
2018 vs 2022
Millions of Republicans - per zito - fled California and NY
And yet, the margin of R.and D tightened substantially.
So.either your wrong about who is fleeing, or the leftists who have stayed decided they no longer want to vote for Dem policies
Or a bunch of leftists died from their vaccine perhaps
Man - These things are difficult for you.
msstate7
Well-known member
You saying the difference in desantis from 2018 and 2022 was people moving into the state? I think it's more desantis did really damn well during Covid
zitothebrave
Connoisseur of Minors
You're comparing Midterm elections which historically go against the elected president.
In 23 mid term elections since 1934, only 2 times in the history of the country did the President's party gain seats in the house and senate. 1934 in depression era FDR (he lost seats every other midterm) and 2002 for Bush post 9/11. Which Bush was essentially still untouchable. You could argue 98 when dems lost no seats in the housea nd gained Senate seats. But that's just an argument.
https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/sta...dlost-the-presidents-party-mid-term-elections
Without digging into the results too much. 6 million votes were cast in 2018 without the easier voting methods of 2022 which saw about 5.8M votes. Add in the increased motivation to get Schumer out.
So in an election Rs are expected to make gains because historically the party that isn't in the white house wins midterms, they did and people are shocked by it. Lol.
zitothebrave
Connoisseur of Minors
zitothebrave
Connoisseur of Minors
What the **** are you talking about. 2020 vs 2016 biden gained.