Specific Predictions About 2018

nsacpi said:
There is a fallacy of composition issue here. With any given player you can make a plausible case they'll be 1-2 wins better than projected. From that it does not follow that it is plausible to make the same claim about pretty much every player on the team.

Not everyone has to play the game the same way. But when predicting surprises from our players I try to have a mix of upside and downside surprises.
Click to expand...

Screw that!

Acuna - 8 WAR
Ozzie - 7 WAR
Swanson - 5 WAR
Freddie - 8 WAR
Ender - 6 WAR
Matt Kemp - 1 WAR
Adonis Garcia - 4 WAR
Johan Camargo - 4 WAR

Julio's ERA will not surpass 2.50 all season
Folty emerges as a stud and they start calling Bob Gibson a "poor man's Folty"
Gohara becomes the next Randy Johnson, except slightly better
Max Fried becomes the next Tom Glavine, except wayyyyy better
Newcomb has a good, but unspectacular season with a 2.65 ERA and only 200 strikeouts

Minter, Ramirez, Viz, and Lindgren form a top 3 bullpen in baseball.

Final record prediction - We break the Mariner's 2001 record of 116 games, winning 118.
 
BeanieAntics said:
Screw that!

Acuna - 8 WAR
Ozzie - 7 WAR
Swanson - 5 WAR
Freddie - 8 WAR
Ender - 6 WAR
Matt Kemp - 1 WAR
Adonis Garcia - 4 WAR
Johan Camargo - 4 WAR

Julio's ERA will not surpass 2.50 all season
Folty emerges as a stud and they start calling Bob Gibson a "poor man's Folty"
Gohara becomes the next Randy Johnson, except slightly better
Max Fried becomes the next Tom Glavine, except wayyyyy better
Newcomb has a good, but unspectacular season with a 2.65 ERA and only 200 strikeouts

Minter, Ramirez, Viz, and Lindgren form a top 3 bullpen in baseball.

Final record prediction - We break the Mariner's 2001 record of 116 games, winning 118.
Click to expand...

That seems a little pessimistic. Talk to your doctor about Prozac.
 
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