58 & 59.
Do not think his contract is under water. And do not think the Marlins will be looking to kick in anything to move him this off-season.
The 14.5 million they are paying him this year is a steal. The 128 million he is owed from age 34 to 38 is probably going to be underwater. I think the marlins can trade him without kicking any money in but I wouldn't expect a great return.
If the Marlin would take neck and Kemp I would throw in Allard. I think the Braves can spare a LH pitcher.
The Marlins need to trade him sooner or later. There is no way to rebuild on less they trade Yelich and Ozuna. Hopefully he breaks the record.
My guess is they trade Ozuna this off-season. But not Stanton.
Then get ozuna.
It is one way we could go. I've become convinced the FO will make one big trade this off-season. Could be for a hitter like Ozuna. More likely a pitcher like Archer or Fulmer.
Either one of those will probably cost Albies and much more.
Wonder if acuna can man cf for Atlanta. That would allow us to use inciarte as a big trade piece
I think we can get Archer for something along these lines: Gohara, Folty and Wentz. Ozuna will cost less since he is under contractual control for only 2 more years.
I figured archer/fulmer would be more expensive. I'm terrible with evaluating trade value though
It is one way we could go. I've become convinced the FO will make one big trade this off-season. Could be for a hitter like Ozuna. More likely a pitcher like Archer or Fulmer.
I see Stanton as this generations Reggie Jackson. Reggie stayed at an all-star level through his age 35 season. I see Stanton being able to do the same thing and then tailing off in his late 30's like so many do. If Stanton were to follow the same path then you get amazing production for all but two years of his contract. That's assuming he doesn't opt out. If the Marlins would take salary relief over a horde of prospects I would do the deal if I was in my contention window.
How are you projecting clean health and a lack of major decline on a player who has been hurt and fairly inconsistent in his prime?
Health is one thing that nobody can predict. His groin injury last year is the only I would consider an injury prone player to have but can happen to anybody. Like the Heyward injury prone talk of years past I don't buy missing time due to getting hit in the face and whatnot being indicative of a player missing time in the future. Things like that happenand it's unfortunate.
As far as being inconsistent goes. I'm going to go ahead and call 2016 something we should't expect going forward.
WRC+ by year
2011: 141
2012: 158
2013: 137
2014: 161
2015: 155
2016: 119
2017: 158
In the game of baseball that seems fairly consistent to me.
If the Braves are really going to be a 150 to 175 million payroll team I think the FO should try to get him even though the last few years of contract may not be so good. Stanton and Freddie in the middle of the order for the next few years would be exciting. Imagine how may homers Stanton would hit with Kemp protecting him