Oh, my mistake. So from the two drafts we can start to evaluate it would be Muller,Wentz, and Guardado, correct? Tarnok we can at least get a better idea of next year.
yes...i looked at this over many years...going back to the pre-wren drafts...we have never done well with HS pitchers in that part of the draft...Tom Glavine (2nd round 1984) being a notable exception
I'll list the ones we've taken since 2000 in that part of the draft (not all have been busts, but the yield has not been good when compared to other types of players we have taken such as HS position players in the same rounds): Bubba Nelson, Digby, Boyer, Charlie Morton, Atilano, Bacot, Stevens, Reyes, Harrison, Beau Jones, Lyman, Rasmus, Evarts, Locke, DeVall, Stovall, Spruill, Chad Rodgers, Salazar, Fulenchek, Guardado, Wentz, Muller, Tarnok.
We have taken significantly fewer HS hitters in that part of the draft, but they have included Freeman, McCann, Saltalamacchia, Kelly Johnson. We have also done better with college pitchers (Wood, Kimbrel being the most impressive) in far fewer picks. We also have taken fewer college hitters, but included in that group are Simmons and Ahmed.
In spite of a poor yield among HS pitchers taken in those rounds, we have persisted in favoring them over all the other "demographic groups" in that part of the draft. Time for a change I would say.
If you want to focus on just the 2015-2017 draft, in the portion I'm looking at (pick #31 to end of round 3), we have taken 4 HS pitchers (Guardado, Wentz, Muller, Tarnok), 3 HS hitters (Waters, Riley, Herbert), 2 college pitchers (Minter and Harrington) and 1 college hitter (Cumberland).