that Campaign rally speech that was the state of the union address feels like an awful awful long time ago.
The Coronavirus, not the beer
- Thread starter Runnin
- Start date
that Campaign rally speech that was the state of the union address feels like an awful awful long time ago.
sturg33
I
I remember when the firefighters were laughing about red state votes dying bc they wouldnt listen
What would you do? Remember the response would have to big enough that China respects The US and walks away. No little sanctions or kicking ambassadors out
Metaphysicist
Not Actually Brian Hunter
sturg33
I
Metaphysicist
Not Actually Brian Hunter
I have not received my coupon. F'ing de Blasio holding out on me again.
sturg33
I
BDB has known to be incompetent. I'm chowing down on a lemon pepper chicken now (but not really, but maybe?)
chop2chip
Well-known member
Looking forward to a NYT opinion article next year this time on this particular association.
sturg33
I
Could be. I'll be curious to see if we have a worldwide spike in illness related deaths this year.
Metaphysicist
Not Actually Brian Hunter
Thought experiment re: death rates.
Think of a number for what percentage of NYC you personally think has been infected and had the virus completely run its course.
We have no idea what the actual number is, but here are the current death rates for that various percentages:
50%: .03%
25%: .05%
10%: .13%
5%: .3%
1%: 1.3%
0.5%: 2.6%
So if the virus has already infected and cycled through only 10% or less of NYC, then we're surpassing thethe's .1% death rate projection. Higher than that and his numbers are more on track.
Think of a number for what percentage of NYC you personally think has been infected and had the virus completely run its course.
We have no idea what the actual number is, but here are the current death rates for that various percentages:
50%: .03%
25%: .05%
10%: .13%
5%: .3%
1%: 1.3%
0.5%: 2.6%
So if the virus has already infected and cycled through only 10% or less of NYC, then we're surpassing thethe's .1% death rate projection. Higher than that and his numbers are more on track.
chop2chip
Well-known member
Has someone released a total deaths projection for NYC yet? Whatever that number is seems low
goldfly
<B>if my thought dreams could be seen</B>
Thinking that the govt is infringing on your rights by making people stay in during a pandemic is why I thankfully do not embrace libertarianism really anymore
Making that argument in the middle of a pandemic and arguing your stance in a vacuum with no regard to reality is just absurd and should be laughed at. Which is what happens to that viewpoint most of the time.
I’ll remember this when I see you try to claim to be pro life though lol
Making that argument in the middle of a pandemic and arguing your stance in a vacuum with no regard to reality is just absurd and should be laughed at. Which is what happens to that viewpoint most of the time.
I’ll remember this when I see you try to claim to be pro life though lol
cajunrevenge
Well-known member
https://www.bostonglobe.com/2020/03...did-you-take-massachusettss-medical-supplies/
Trump - why arent the states doing more for themselves
Also Trump - nice supplies you got there. Those are mine now.
Trump - why arent the states doing more for themselves
Also Trump - nice supplies you got there. Those are mine now.
Metaphysicist
Not Actually Brian Hunter
I haven't seen a specific projection, but the % increase in daily deaths in NY State is actually slightly higher than where Italy was at the same number of deaths. NY was quicker to go into "shutdown mode" so hopeful it won't be as bad, but it is still likely to be awful.
Italy After 500 deaths
2020-03-10 631(+36%)
2020-03-11 827(+31%)
2020-03-12 1,016(+23%)
2020-03-13 1,266(+25%)
2020-03-14 1,441(+14%)
New York State After 500 Deaths
2020-03-27 519(+34.8%)
2020-03-28 728(+40.3%)
2020-03-29 965(+32.6%)
2020-03-30 1,218(+26.2%)
2020-03-31 1,550(+27.3%)
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