The Coronavirus, not the beer

thethe said:
[Tw]1248282853097472005[/tw]

This is actually what is going on. Spectacular work.
Click to expand...

If you think the IC, or equivalent, modeling a worst case "millions of deaths" was predictions for what we would see after doing what we've done then you are just straight up stupid. That's just explicitly false. End of story.
 
Metaphysicist said:
If you think the IC, or equivalent, modeling a worst case "millions of deaths" was predictions for what we would see after doing what we've done then you are just straight up stupid. That's just explicitly false. End of story.
Click to expand...

Ignorance and bad faith are the only two plausible explanations
 
Metaphysicist said:
If you think the IC, or equivalent, modeling a worst case "millions of deaths" was predictions for what we would see after doing what we've done then you are just straight up stupid. That's just explicitly false. End of story.
Click to expand...

Then they are stupid because as the virus started killing people and spreading people would NATURALLY social distance.

This has been bungled from the very beginning.

That German study was finally the first piece of evidence that indicates the virus isnt that deadly at all.
 
Metaphysicist said:
If you think the IC, or equivalent, modeling a worst case "millions of deaths" was predictions for what we would see after doing what we've done then you are just straight up stupid. That's just explicitly false. End of story.
Click to expand...


It's simply the right's echo chamber positioning themselves for Trump's new defense.

Blame the IC and scientists, saying it was vastly overblown and that he was forced to make decisions based off of it.

Trump has been trying to pass blame for weeks now, and rewrite the events of the last 2 months.
 
The Chosen One said:
It's simply the right's echo chamber positioning themselves for Trump's new defense.

Blame the IC and scientists, saying it was vastly overblown and that he was forced to make decisions based off of it.

Trump has been trying to pass blame for weeks now, and rewrite the events of the last 2 months.
Click to expand...

Trumps 'hunch' is proving to be right

That's got to hurt...
 
thethe said:
Then they are stupid because as the virus started killing people and spreading people would NATURALLY social distance.

This has been bungled from the very beginning.

That German study was finally the first piece of evidence that indicates the virus isnt that deadly at all.
Click to expand...

I don't think you've been out much.

People weren't socially distancing on the beaches in Florida, you can go to a supermarket and see people aren't really socially distancing there. This attempt to undermine social distancing's effect on slowing down this virus is absurd.
 
The Chosen One said:
I don't think you've been out much.

People weren't socially distancing on the beaches in Florida, you can go to a supermarket and see people aren't really socially distancing there. This attempt to undermine social distancing's effect on slowing down this virus is absurd.
Click to expand...

Because people weren't dying like we were told. If people were dying by the thousands across the world then people would have changed fast.
 
This thread will end up being just like Russia collusion. Never to be revisited 1 month from now
 
thethe said:
Because people weren't dying like we were told. If people were dying by the thousands across the world then people would have changed fast.
Click to expand...

Wow, so it's almost like doing nothing would not have actually saved the economy, this is mind-blowing.
 
Metaphysicist said:
Wow, so it's almost like doing nothing would not have actually saved the economy, this is mind-blowing.
Click to expand...

Oh, I think it would have been much better than was previously presented.

Anyone that thinks millions would have died based on what we are seeing now is just wrong.

Any comments on that German study?
 
thethe said:
Then they are stupid because as the virus started killing people and spreading people would NATURALLY social distance.
Click to expand...

It is highly likely that there would be significant spontaneous changes in population behaviour even in the absence of government-mandated interventions.

from p. 2 of the IC report
 
nsacpi said:
It is highly likely that there would be significant spontaneous changes in population behaviour even in the absence of government-mandated interventions.

from p. 2 of the IC report
Click to expand...

So then they included social distancing into their projections
 
First three sentences of the section titled Results:

In the (unlikely) absence of any control measures or spontaneous changes in individual behaviour, we
would expect a peak in mortality (daily deaths) to occur after approximately 3 months (Figure 1A). In
such scenarios, given an estimated R0 of 2.4, we predict 81% of the GB and US populations would be
infected over the course of the epidemic. Epidemic timings are approximate given the limitations of
surveillance data in both countries.
 
Last edited:
thethe said:
So then they included social distancing into their projections
Click to expand...

Yes

They consider a scenario (which they make clear is unlikely) in which no change in behavior happens. That is a point of departure in their analysis. And depart from it they do.
 
Last edited:
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top